|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD’s upside remains compelling towards $1,921 – Confluence Detector

Gold price continues to draw the safe-haven bids on escalating geopolitical tensions after Russian President Vladimir Putin’s decision to officially recognize two self-proclaimed separatist republics in eastern Ukraine. The US and its allies condemned the Russian move at the United Nations (UN) Security Council’s emergency meeting, as the White House has prepared a set of sanctions to be imposed on Russia. Some market participants still see a ray of hope for de-escalation, as they look forward to Thursday’s G7 meeting on the Ukraine crisis.

Read: Markets brace for heavy falls as Russia-Ukraine crisis escalates

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that gold price is challenging key resistance at $1,909, which is the Bollinger Band one-day Upper.

A sustained move above the latter will bring the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,913 into play, above which the eight-month highs of $1,917 will be challenged.

Acceptance above the latter will trigger a fresh upswing towards $1,919, the pivot point one-week R1. Further up, the pivot point one-day R2 at $,1921 will test the bearish commitments.

Alternatively, if the corrective pullback resumes, then the previous week’s high of $1,903 is likely to be threatened.

The next relevant support is envisioned at the confluence of the Fibonacci 161.8% one-month and the SMA10 four-hour.

The Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1,896 will then come to the rescue of gold optimists.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation
We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.