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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD trades lackluster despite gloomy market mood, DXY below 104.00

  • Gold price is oscillating in a $2 range amid a light economic calendar this week.
  • Rising inflationary pressures are hurting the global growth forecasts.
  • The risk-off impulse has failed to bring a power-pack action in the gold prices.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is in the doldrums despite mounting tensions in the global markets on galloping inflationary pressures. The precious metal is behaving depressed and is auctioning in an extremely tight range of $1,815.40-1,817.42 in the Asian session. The disclosure of the inflation data by Europe and the UK on Wednesday created havoc in the FX domain. The annualized Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures by the Eurozone and the UK landed at 7.5% and 9% respectively. It looks like the sky is the limit for the inflation figures.

Advancing price pressures are hurting the global growth forecasts and the expectations of the same forced the market participants to dump equities worldwide. Global sell-off in the equities heightened the appeal for the safe-haven assets, however, the gold prices failed to find any meaningful bids and are continuously displaying a lackluster performance.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is oscillating below the round level resistance of 104.00 in the Asian session. A bull rally in the DXY looks far from over and the asset may get empowered with intensive buying interest.

Gold technical analysis

On a four-hour scale, the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,833.47 is acting as a major barricade for the counter. A 40.00-60.00 range oscillation from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is advocating for a directionless move in the counter. The precious metal is expected to consolidate in a range of $1,807.72-1,836.45. The downward sloping trendline placed from April 18 high at $1,998.43 will act as major resistance for the asset.

Gold four-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1814.94
Today Daily Change-0.32
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1815.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA201875.62
Daily SMA501920.28
Daily SMA1001883.78
Daily SMA2001836.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1836.15
Previous Daily Low1812.93
Previous Weekly High1885.82
Previous Weekly Low1799.19
Previous Monthly High1998.43
Previous Monthly Low1872.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1821.8
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1827.28
Daily Pivot Point S11806.74
Daily Pivot Point S21798.23
Daily Pivot Point S31783.52
Daily Pivot Point R11829.96
Daily Pivot Point R21844.67
Daily Pivot Point R31853.18

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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