Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD soars to $1870 as bears capitulate

Gold hits weekly highs despite higher yields.
XAU/USD is testing the $1870 resistance area.
DXY and US yields are at the highest level since May 9.

Matías Salord FXStreet

Despite higher US yields and a stronger dollar, gold prices are soaring on Friday. XAU/USD rebounded again at the $1830 but this time it broke $1850 and a few minutes later reach $1870.

Gold finally reacting to inflation?

After the US May CPI report, XAU/USD bottomed at $1824, the lowest level in three weeks as Treasury yields move higher. After moving sideways in a wide range, gold broke above $1850 and gained more strength.

Technical factors and probably the yellow metal finally reacting to inflation, are boosting gold. In the short term, bears appear to be capitulating. The rally in gold is taking place even as the dollar and US yields soar.

The DXY is up by 0.80%, at 104.15, the highest level since May 17. The US 10-year yield stands at 3.15% and the 30-year at 3.22%, both at the highest since May 9. At the same time, the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 are falling by more than 2%.

Usually, a context of higher yields, risk aversion and a stronger dollar is negative for gold. During the last hour, it has not been the case. From the daily low, XAU/USD has risen so far $45.

Form a technical perspective, if XAU/USD holds above $1870 it would point to more gains. The next strong barrier is seen at $1890. On the contrary, a reversal from current levels, back under $1850 would put gold back under pressure.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1863.67
Today Daily Change	15.77
Today Daily Change %	0.85
Today daily open	1847.9

Trends
Daily SMA20	1844.41
Daily SMA50	1885.5
Daily SMA100	1889.83
Daily SMA200	1842.02

Levels
Previous Daily High	1855.38
Previous Daily Low	1840.09
Previous Weekly High	1874.16
Previous Weekly Low	1828.55
Previous Monthly High	1909.83
Previous Monthly Low	1786.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1845.93
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1849.54
Daily Pivot Point S1	1840.2
Daily Pivot Point S2	1832.5
Daily Pivot Point S3	1824.91
Daily Pivot Point R1	1855.49
Daily Pivot Point R2	1863.08
Daily Pivot Point R3	1870.78

Author

Matías Salord

FXStreet

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

GBP/USD appears well offered near 1.3160

GBP/USD builds on Tuesday’s losses, although it now manages to pick up some pace and bounce off earlier multi-month troughs near 1.3140. The Greenback’s solid performance and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD trims losses, hovers around 1.1350

EUR/USD now regains some composure and rebounds to the 1.1350 zone on Wednesday, partially reversing the prior pullback to fresh yearly lows near 1.1320. Meanwhile, spot remains on the back foot as the US Dollar continues to draw support from hawkish Fed expectations and uncertainty over the outcome of US-Iran peace negotiations.

Gold puts $4,000 to the test, new yearly lows

Gold accelerates its decline and gyrates around the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday, its lowest level since November 2025. In the meantime, tighter-for-longer Fed expectations and a broadly firmer US Dollar continue to weigh on the yellow metal, while uncertainty surrounding a potential US-Iran peace agreement has done little to revive demand for the safe haven space.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure as September Fed rate-hike odds increase

Bitcoin is trading between $62,000 and $63,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by headwinds stemming from macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally

Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.