Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD on the backfoot below $1,900, geopolitics eyed

Gold prices have slipped below $1897.70 as investors await fresh sanctions status on Russia.
The precious metal has surged around 5.6% in February amid the safe-haven appeal.
The bullion is retreating towards the trendline places from $1887.66.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

Gold price is easing below the trading range of $1897.70-1901.70 formed in the Asian session. Investors are waiting for fresh impetus on the sanctions status on Russia by the Western leaders. The US and Britain have already imposed sanctions on Russia against its arbitrariness.

Earlier this week, Moscow recognized Donetsk and Luhansk as ‘independent’ regions in eastern Ukraine and built up military troops along with the support of separatist leaders. This has been considered a breach of international security and fake assurances on peace-making by the Western leaders.

The precious metal has remained in the grip of bulls in February on improving safe-haven appeal amid the Russia-Ukraine tensions. A juggernaut rally of around 5.6% has been recorded from February’s opening price at $1797.16 to the current trading price of $1896.4, at the time of writing. Adding to that, the odds of an aggressive monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed) had diminished until Wednesday, which helped underpin the precious metal against the greenback.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is also oscillating in a narrow range of 95.98-96.12 on Wednesday ahead of quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, which are due on Thursday.

Gold Technical Analysis

On a 15-minute scale, XAU/USD is retreating towards the trendline placed from Monday’s low of $1887.66. The 50-period and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) have turned flat after trending upwards, which calls for a pullback. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is likely to slip below 40.00, which may strengthen the case in favor of bears.

Gold 15-min chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1897.08
Today Daily Change	-3.42
Today Daily Change %	-0.18
Today daily open	1900.5

Trends
Daily SMA20	1839.6
Daily SMA50	1823.4
Daily SMA100	1809.87
Daily SMA200	1808.69

Levels
Previous Daily High	1914.34
Previous Daily Low	1891.45
Previous Weekly High	1902.5
Previous Weekly Low	1844.65
Previous Monthly High	1853.91
Previous Monthly Low	1780.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1900.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1905.6
Daily Pivot Point S1	1889.85
Daily Pivot Point S2	1879.21
Daily Pivot Point S3	1866.96
Daily Pivot Point R1	1912.74
Daily Pivot Point R2	1924.99
Daily Pivot Point R3	1935.63

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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