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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD jumps above $1,920 after US data

  • US Dollar weakens following Q4 US Employment Cost Index.
  • Data points to more evidence of a slow down in inflation.
  • XAU/USD erases daily losses with a rebound of more than $10.

Gold prices bounced sharply higher following the release of US labor costs data for the fourth quarter. More evidence of a slowdown in inflation pushed US yields to the downside and Wall Street to the upside, weakening the greenback.

The Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 1% in the fourth quarter, below the 1.1% of market consensus and marked the third consecutive slowdown. Still the index is up by 4% compared to a year ago. The evidence of an improvement in the inflation outlook boosted US yields ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision.

Still the numbers are high, suggesting that inflation is still not consistent with Fed’s target. “Even as supply chain pressures ease, commodity prices cool and housing costs temper, we think the FOMC still wants to see a bit more slowing in wage growth before the Committee feels confident inflation is firmly headed to 2% over the medium term”, said analysts at Wells Fargo.

The greenback tumbled after the report and also did Treasuries, boosting gold. Also equity and crude oil price rose. XAU/USD erased all losses and it is hovering around daily highs at $1,927.

Earlier on Tuesday, gold bottomed at $1,900 a critical support. Now price is back above the $1,920 zone, another relevant technical area. If it remains above, a test of $1,935 will be on the cards.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1920.95
Today Daily Change-1.19
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1922.14
 
Trends
Daily SMA201901.06
Daily SMA501832.91
Daily SMA1001757.26
Daily SMA2001775.6
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1934.54
Previous Daily Low1920.67
Previous Weekly High1949.27
Previous Weekly Low1911.45
Previous Monthly High1833.38
Previous Monthly Low1765.89
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1925.97
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1929.24
Daily Pivot Point S11917.03
Daily Pivot Point S21911.91
Daily Pivot Point S31903.16
Daily Pivot Point R11930.9
Daily Pivot Point R21939.65
Daily Pivot Point R31944.77

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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