|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD faces a wall of resistance en-route $1,800 – Confluence Detector

Gold is looking to find its feet on Monday after wild swings witnessed on Friday, as the world was once again rattled by fresh concerns over a new covid variant detected in South Africa. The renewed virus concerns continue to underpin gold’s safe-haven appeal while markets reassess the Fed’s tightening expectations. Investors are likely to remain edgy amid choppy markets, as the latest covid updates and risk sentiment will continue to dominate.

Read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD needs to find acceptance above $1,800 to negate the bearish bias

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the gold price is likely to face a stubborn resistance at $1,799-$1,800, which is the intersection of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month and Bollinger Band one-hour Middle.

If the latter caves in, then the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1,802 could get tested. Further up, gold bulls will need extra zest to take out the critical Fibonacci 38.2% one-week at $1,807.

The confluence of the SMA200 four-hour and pivot point one-day R1 at $1,809 will challenge the bearish commitments.

The next stop for gold bulls is seen around $1,816, where the previous week’s high, previous month’s high and pivot point one-month R1 merge.

On the flip side, the immediate downside seems guarded by a dense cluster of healthy support levels around $1,795.

At that point, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week coincides with the SMA100 one-day, Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and SMA200 one-day.

The next demand area at $1,789, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, will come into play, below which floors will open up towards Friday’s low of $1,780.55.           

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).