|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes acceptance above $1,795 to recapture $1,800 – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price is consolidating Friday’s rebound amid a mixed market sentiment on Monday.
  • Hawkish Fed outlook, China’s covid woes fail to impress US Dollar bulls.
  • US Treasury yields rally, capping the Gold price upside. Will it reclaim $1,800?

Gold price is treading water just below $1,800, as investors fail to find a clear directional impetus amid a broadly weaker US Dollar and higher Treasury bond yields. The US Dollar is feeling the pull of gravity, dragged down by the USD/JPY sell-off while the US Treasury bond yields benefit from hawkish comments from the Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester. Despite the hawkish Fed outlook, Gold price is looking to extend the renewed upside, underpinned by the bullish technical setup and encouraging news from India. Last week, India’sgovernment raised the base import prices of crude palm oil and soy oil, gold and silver, as prices jumped in the world market. Investors will closely follow the US Dollar price action and risk trends amid a relatively quiet start to the Christmas week.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes a sustained move above $1,800 amid bullish technical setup

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is gathering strength to yearn for a decisive break above the powerful resistance aligned at $1,795. That level is the convergence of the SMA5 one-day, Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and the previous high four-hour.

If bulls manage to find a strong foothold above the latter, then a minor resistance at $1,798 will be tested. The next stop for Gold bulls is seen at the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,800.

A fresh advance toward the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week at $1,805 could be in the offing on a sustained buying.

On the downside, strong support awaits at around $1,787, the intersection of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, SMA200 one-day, the previous month’s high and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

A breach of the latter will expose the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1,783. Further south, the pivot point one-day S1 at $1,780 could come to the rescue of Gold buyers.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone
Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.