|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends losses toward $1,800, focus on US employment data

  • Gold price hovers around seven-month lows on upbeat US Dollar.
  • Risk-off sentiment exerts pressure on non-yielding assets like Gold.
  • Upbeat US jobs data reinforces the US Bond yields; providing support to the Greenback.

Gold price continues its losing streak that began on September 25, trading lower around $1,820 per troy ounce during the early Asian trading session on Wednesday. The prices of Gold are facing downward pressure amid risk-off sentiment and a stronger US Dollar (USD).

Moderate Chinese economic data released over the weekend failed to contribute any support for the precious metal. China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI for August grew to 50.2 from the previous 49.7 figures, exceeding the 50.0 expected.

Non-manufacturing PMI rose to 51.7 from the 51.0 previous reading, surpassing the market consensus of 51.5. Furthermore, Caixin Manufacturing's PMI reduced to 50.6 in September from the previous print of 51.0, which was expected to improve to 51.2.

US Dollar Index (DXY) surged to an 11-month high in the previous session, propelled by robust US employment data and higher US Treasury yields. The spot hovers around 107.10 at the time of writing.

US JOLTS Job Openings outpaced expectations, contributing to an uptick in US Treasury yields. The 10-year US Bond yield reached its highest level since 2007, hitting 4.81% on Tuesday.

JOLTS report showed that job openings improved to 9.61 million in August from the previous reading of 8.92 million, surpassing market expectations. Furthermore, cautious sentiments surrounding the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate trajectory are bolstering positive sentiment for the Greenback.

Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester indicated a likelihood of favoring an interest rate hike at the next meeting if the current economic conditions persist. Conversely, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic shared a patient perspective on the Fed's policy outlook, stating that there is no rush to raise or reduce rates.

Market participants await the US employment data, with the release of the ADP report on Wednesday and the Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday.

XAU/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1822.78
Today Daily Change-0.32
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1823.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA201901.54
Daily SMA501915.91
Daily SMA1001931.65
Daily SMA2001927.86
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1833.41
Previous Daily Low1815.28
Previous Weekly High1927.27
Previous Weekly Low1846.37
Previous Monthly High1953.01
Previous Monthly Low1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1822.21
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1826.48
Daily Pivot Point S11814.45
Daily Pivot Point S21805.8
Daily Pivot Point S31796.32
Daily Pivot Point R11832.58
Daily Pivot Point R21842.06
Daily Pivot Point R31850.71

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.