Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD establishes above $1,850 as DXY weakens, focus is on US Inflation


Share:
  • Gold price is holding itself above $1,850.00 as investors ignored uncertainty ahead of the US inflation.
  • The DXY has witnessed a decent sell-off which could drag the asset towards 102.00.
  • Higher inflation and upbeat NFP will compel the fed to feature a bumper rate hike.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has displayed a minor correction after recording a high around $1,856.00 on Tuesday but is holding strongly above the crucial resistance of $1,850.00 as the US dollar index (DXY) has slipped sharply.  The precious metal has been advancing higher gradually after hitting a low of $1,837.06 and is expected to extend gains if the bright metal oversteps Tuesday’s high at $1,855.64.

The DXY surrendered the majority of its gains recorded on Tuesday after failing to cross the critical barricade of 102.83. A rebound in the risk-on impulse after investors ignored the uncertainty ahead of the US inflation strengthened the risk-perceived currencies and the precious metal. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to remain unchanged at 8.3% while the core CPI that doesn’t include food and energy prices may slip to 5.9% vs. the prior print of 6.2%.  

The sustainability of the US inflation above 8% is going to put forward complications for the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed is going to dictate its monetary policy next week and elevated inflation along with the upbeat US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will compel a rate hike decision.

Gold technical analysis

On an hourly scale, the gold price is oscillating in a wider range of $1,828.98-1,874.16 for a prolonged period. The precious metal is forming a Darvas Box chart pattern that signals a slippage in volatility followed by a breakout in the same. A 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,849.74 is overlapping to the prices, which signals a rangebound move going forward.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is struggling to enter into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. An establishment in the same will strengthen the gold bulls.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1852.36
Today Daily Change 10.93
Today Daily Change % 0.59
Today daily open 1841.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1842.36
Daily SMA50 1889.93
Daily SMA100 1889.04
Daily SMA200 1841.44
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1857.99
Previous Daily Low 1840.73
Previous Weekly High 1874.16
Previous Weekly Low 1828.55
Previous Monthly High 1909.83
Previous Monthly Low 1786.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1847.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1851.4
Daily Pivot Point S1 1835.44
Daily Pivot Point S2 1829.46
Daily Pivot Point S3 1818.18
Daily Pivot Point R1 1852.7
Daily Pivot Point R2 1863.98
Daily Pivot Point R3 1869.96

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0700 amid weaker US Dollar, EU data eyed

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0700 amid weaker US Dollar, EU data eyed

EUR/USD is posting small gains above 1.0700, finding support from a broad US Dollar weakness and hawkish ECB expectations ahead of the mid-tier EU data this Tuesday. Cautious market mood and disappointing German Factory Orders limit the upside in the major. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD defends bids near 1.2450 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD defends bids near 1.2450 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is trading close to 1.2450, defending minor bids in early Europe. Amidst poor US economic data and increased Fed pause bets, the US Dollar takes the back seat, despite a cautious risk tone so far this Tuesday. 

GBP/USD News

Gold gyrates within $1,955-73 trading zone

Gold gyrates within $1,955-73 trading zone

Gold price aptly portrays the sluggish markets heading into Tuesday’s European session, after an indecisive week. The XAU/USD highlights a lack of major data/events on the economic calendar, as well as mixed concerns about the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) moves and the diplomatic ties between the US and China.

Gold News

Is the metaverse hype back in action?

Is the metaverse hype back in action?

Although there are no major macroeconomic events this week, investors can expect massive volatility on a daily basis. The reasoning behind this outlook is that Apple will be conducting the 2023 Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) on June 5.

Read more

Plotting the slope for the Fed's final glide path

Plotting the slope for the Fed's final glide path

Given that investors have very strong recession priors and it's well understood the services sectors are driving the bulk of the post-Covid cross-asset recovery, the negative services print was viewed a tad pessimistic on a multi-cross-asset level as the summer lull beckons.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures