|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drops to a 10-day low, on risk-on impulse ahead of Powell’s speech

  • Gold prices are trading near the flatline at $1969 as the market digests the potential end of the Federal Reserve's rate hikes
  • Market sentiment is upbeat as Wall Street printed gains, reducing the appeal of safe-haven assets.
  • Investors are now paying attention to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech for further clues on the central bank's rate trajectory.

Gold price (XAU/USD) traded to the downside on Tuesday despite investors’ perception that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be nearing the end of its rate-tightening campaign. This is due to gradually easing consumer inflation and higher US Treasury yields, which have tightened financial conditions. At the time of writing, XAU/USD exchanges hands at $1969.09, almost flat after hitting a ten-day low of $1956.81.

XAU/USD remains under pressure amid higher US Treasury yields and mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials

Wall Street portrayed an upbeat sentiment, hence a headwind for safe-haven assets. Federal Reserve officials continued to cross newswires, led by Fed Governor Lisa Cook. She commented on Monday that the current interest rate policy is sufficiently restrictive to achieve price stability.

Further Fed commentary witnessed Minnesota’s President Neil Kashkari raising questions about whether current policy is tight enough given the strength of the economy and mentioned that an increase in inflation could justify further tightening.

On the other hand, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee acknowledged progress in controlling inflation and suggested that the focus of the conversation might shift to how long interest rates need to remain at their current level.

Of late, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman emphasized the possibility of the Fed needing to raise interest rates further to combat inflation. However, she also recognized the impact of rising Treasury yields on financial conditions.

What to watch?

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's commentary on Wednesday will be closely watched, as it may provide insights into whether investors should anticipate additional interest rate hikes this year to achieve the Fed's 2% inflation target.

XAU/USD Technical Levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1969.54
Today Daily Change-8.14
Today Daily Change %-0.41
Today daily open1977.68
 
Trends
Daily SMA201955.74
Daily SMA501922.1
Daily SMA1001926.12
Daily SMA2001934.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1993.18
Previous Daily Low1977.52
Previous Weekly High2007.98
Previous Weekly Low1969.9
Previous Monthly High2009.49
Previous Monthly Low1810.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1983.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1987.2
Daily Pivot Point S11972.41
Daily Pivot Point S21967.13
Daily Pivot Point S31956.75
Daily Pivot Point R11988.07
Daily Pivot Point R21998.45
Daily Pivot Point R32003.73

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges lower below 1.1650 as Middle East tensions fuel US Dollar strength

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1635 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro as escalating Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven flows. Traders brace for the Eurozone Retail Sales and US weekly Initial Jobless Claims reports, which will be released later on Thursday. 

GBP/USD tests key moving averages as growth downgrade weighs

GBP/USD was nearly flat on Wednesday, edging up 0.08% to settle around 1.3370 in a quiet session. The pair has fallen sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870 and is now testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, with this week's one-week forex heatmap showing Pound Sterling as one of the worst performers against the US Dollar, down about 1.4% on the week.

Gold re-attempts $5,200 amid a softer USD; reduced Fed rate cut bets cap gains

Gold bounces toward $5,200 for the second consecutive day on Thursday amid a modest US Dollar weakness. Wednesday's upbeat US macro data further tempered hopes for three rate cuts by the Fed in 2026. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions might continue to benefit the USD's status as the global reserve currency and contribute to capping the bullion.

Ethereum jumps alongside a spike in open interest, realized price could limit upside

Ethereum has jumped above $2,100 on Wednesday, following a general recovery across the crypto market. The move was accompanied by a spike in Ethereum's open interest, which has increased to 13.43M ETH — its highest level since January 31. 

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.