|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD at risk of falling below the key $1809 support

Gold is challenging the $1809 key support once again as risk-off trading returns but the yellow metal awaits US jobs data for fresh cues. Technically, gold’s daily chart shows a lack of clear directional bias, as FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta notes.

XAU/USD set to extend the range play above $1800

“China’s stock market return to the red zone, led by a sell-off in the stock prices of the online gaming companies after Chinese state media referred to their business as ‘spiritual opium’. Meanwhile, most of the major Asian economies are fighting the covid battle hard amid a relentless surge in cases, limiting gold’s decline.” 

“The daily chart of gold price shows that its trading range is getting tighter each passing day, with a breakout in either direction likely on the cards.”

“The 200-DMA at $1820 restricts the bullish attempts while the 21-DMA guards the downside. However, gold traders are biding time before the key event risks for this week – the US payrolls data.”

“On the upside, gold price could test the mildly bearish 50-DMA at $1825 if it finds acceptance above the 200-DMA barrier. Further up, the July highs at $1834 could be challenged.”

“A sustained break below the 21-DMA support at $1809 could expose the ascending 100-DMA cap at $1803, below which the sellers will keep their sight on $1800. The next significant downside target is envisioned around $1790, the recent range lows.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD shows resilience below 38.2% Fibo. near mid-0.7100s

The AUD/USD pair touches a one-and-a-half-week low, around the 0.7140 region during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks follow-through. Spot prices currently trade just above mid-0.7100s, down nearly 0.25% for the day.


USD/JPY: Japanese Yen edges lower vs USD amid Middle East jitters as Fed, BoJ meetings loom

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers at the start of a new week and climbs closer to the 154.00 mark during the Asian session, reversing a part of Friday's losses. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a range held over the past week or so and within striking distance of a nearly seven-month low, touched last Tuesday, as traders await this week's key central bank events.


Gold: Sell-off meets support near $4,250… for now

Gold accelerates its downward trend on Monday, coming close to the $4,250 mark per troy ounce, or multi-week lows, on the back of the intense rebound in the US Dollar and US Treasury yields across the curve. The precious metal’s retracement comes on the back of steady speculation of an interest rate increase by the Fed and reignited inflation worries in response to the rally of crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recover ahead of US Senate vote on CLARITY Act

Bitcoin edges higher, trading near $77,884 as of Monday, in tandem with broader gains across the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum and Ripple follow Bitcoin’s neutral-to-bullish trajectory, holding key support levels at $2,521 and $1.38, respectively.

Will the Fed deliver the hawkishness markets are pricing in?

Fed hike bets increase after PPI and CPI reports. Updated dot plot to be crucial for the dollar’s reaction. Warsh’s independence faces test amid Trump’s pressure for lower rates. For the Dollar to extend gains, Fed needs to satisfy current hawkish bets.


Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.