|

Gold Price Forecast: Key levels to watch amid Russia-Ukraine peace talks – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price is treading water amid a cautious market mood after the recent slump.
  • Traders remain on the sidelines ahead of ECB, US inflation and Russia-Ukraine peace talks.
  • Gold: Is the correction over yet? Watch out for the critical levels.

Gold price is stabilizing at lower levels, nursing heavy losses incurred on Wednesday A sudden wave of optimism hit gold price hard after Ukraine said it is ready for a comprise if Russia shows the same intent. Although markets are back to square one this Thursday, as the Ukraine crisis is unlikely to get over anytime soon. Heightened uncertainty could likely keep a floor under gold price. But traders may refrain from placing any positional bets on gold price ahead of the ECB announcements, US inflation and the much-awaited outcome of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks.

Read: War and inflation

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that gold price is gyrating below powerful resistance at $1,989, which is the meeting point of the SMA5 one-day and the previous high four-hour.

Acceptance above the latter will prompt bulls to take on the dense cluster of resistance levels around $1,996, where the pivot point one-week R1, Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and pivot point one-month R1 coincide.

The next upside target is seen at the $2,000 psychological level, above which a fresh advance towards $2,007 cannot be ruled out. That level is the confluence of the Bollinger Band four-hour Middle and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day.

Alternatively, decent support awaits around $1,981, a breach of which will call for a retest of the previous day’s low of $1,976.

If the selling pressure intensifies, then gold bears will challenge the previous month’s high near $1,974.

The previous week high of $1,970 will be next on the sellers’ radars. The last line of defense for gold optimists is seen at $1,960, which is the intersection of the previous year’s high and the pivot point one-day S1.

Despite these relevant support and resistance levels, volatility is likely to remain sky-high amid the peace talks, with wild swings in either direction likely on the table.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.



USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold finds relief as Oil tumbles on positive US-Iran headlines

Gold extends its recovery during American trading hours on Monday, supported by falling Oil prices following positive headlines on US-Iran talks. The metal regains ground after hitting a fresh yearly low of $3,870 on Friday and ending October down 6.87%. However, the rebound lacks conviction as the fundamental backdrop continues to raise doubts over a sustained recovery.

Bitcoin braces for US midterm elections as historical sell-offs revive downside concerns
Bitcoin (BTC) braces for the impact of the US midterm elections, just a week after the $6 billion hack from Binance. Historically, congressional elections have negatively affected not just the president’s party but also Bitcoin. In the last 22 midterms, the ruling party has gained House seats only twice, while the three most recent elections coincided with Bitcoin’s bear market bottoms.
Why strong US growth could not stop the bond rally and AI selloff

The US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate, yet Treasury yields fell and the Nasdaq ended October with its worst monthly performance since March 2025. The market is no longer rewarding capital expenditure simply because it supports growth. Investors are testing whether that expenditure can produce cash flow and returns above the cost of capital.



The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.