|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD trapped between two key barriers ahead of US data – Confluence Detector

Having found support once again near Friday’s low of $1912, gold recovered some ground on Wednesday. The XAU bulls, however, lacked a follow-through ahead of Thursday’s Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium.

Global economic worries resurfaced and offset the US-China trade deal optimism, underpinning gold’s safe-haven appeal. Attention turns towards the US Durable Goods release, especially after the US CB Consumer Confidence Index hit a six-year low.

How is gold positioned on the charts?

Gold: Key resistances and supports

The tool shows that gold remains capped by the immediate barrier at $1930, the intersection of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day and SMA10 on four-hour.

Gold needs to take out the critical hurdle at $1932 to revive the recovery momentum. That level is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, SMA50 one-hour and Bollinger Band 15-minutes Upper.

The next relevant resistance is aligned at $1936, where SMA100 on one-hour and Fibonacci 23.6% one-week coincide.

Acceptance above the latter will trigger a fresh rally towards $1951, which is the convergence of Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and Bollinger Band four-hour Upper.

On the flip side, the bears are struggling around $1926, the confluence of the SMA200 four-hour and SMA100 on 1-minutes.

A bunch of minor support levels could stagger the declines, which could see a test of the previous week low of $1912.

Below that level the last straw for the bulls, placed at $1906, will get tested.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About the Confluence Detector

With the TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) tool, you can easily locate areas where the price can find a support zone or resistance zone and make trading decisions. If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points each time.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains above 0.7200 after China's trade data

AUD/USD sits above 0.7200 in the Asian session on Tuesday, near its highest level since May 14. The US Dollar stays under pressure as a rallying Japanese Yen outweighs support from hawkish Fed bets and geopolitical tensions. This, along with firming expectations for another RBA rate hike later this month, acts as a tailwind for the Aussie. However, mixed China trade balance data keep the pair restricted.

USD/JPY recovers to 154.00 amid hawkish BoJ repricing

USD/JPY is recovering from six-month lows of 152.89, retesting 154.00 in European trading on Tuesday. However, the upside attempts appear limited as Japan's upbeat wage growth data and Q2 GDP revision cement bets on a BoJ rate hike next week and continue to boost the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US Dollar selling remains unabated despite hawkish Fed expectations and rising geopolitical tensions, lending additional support to the pair.

Gold traders seem hesitant below $4,450 as Fed rate hike bets counter softer USD

Gold retreats to the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session, though it holds above the $4,400 mark amid a softer US Dollar. However, hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations, along with persistent geopolitical uncertainties, offer some support to the safe-haven buck and keep a lid on the non-yielding bullion.

Ripple and Stellar outlook: Hold bullish bias above EMAs as derivatives back upside
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) hold above the key support zones on Tuesday, hinting at an upside move. Derivatives metrics further support the recovery, with both altcoins showing positive funding rates and rising long positions. Derivatives data shows a bullish tilt among XRP and XLM traders.
Europe in focus: September 2026
Six major net contributors demanded substantial cuts to the European Commission’s proposed 2028–2034 EU budget. Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden issued a joint position on 27 August calling for the nearly €2 trillion proposal to be reduced by several hundred billion euros and rejecting additional common EU borrowing.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.