|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD struggles to built on intraday bounce, flat-lined below $1845

  • Gold attracted some dip-buying on Thursday and reversed the early lost ground.
  • Sliding US bond yields turned out to be a key factor that benefitted the commodity.
  • The upbeat market mood kept a lid on any further gains for the safe-haven metal.

Gold managed to recover intraday losses, albeit lacked any follow-through buying and was last seen trading in the neutral territory, just below the $1845 level.

The precious metal stalled its corrective pullback from over one-week tops set in the previous session and managed to attract some dip-buying near the 200-hour SMA, around the $1834-33 region on Thursday. The uptick was supported by a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields, which tend to drive flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal.

Against the backdrop of Wednesday's weaker US consumer inflation figures, the US bond yields lost some additional ground in reaction to dovish comments by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Speaking to the Economic Club of New York, Powell indicated that the Fed isn't considering raising interest rates from the current near-zero levels.

The supporting factor, to a larger extent, was offset by the underlying bullish sentiment in the financial markets amid optimism over a strong global economic recovery. The progress in the rollout of vaccines for the highly contagious coronavirus and expectations for a massive US fiscal spending plan continued boosting investors' confidence.

This, in turn, held bulls from placing aggressive bets and kept a lid on any runaway rally for the safe-haven XAU/USD, at least for the time being. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the recent bounce from two-month lows, around the $1785 region touched last week.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlighting the release of the usual Initial Weekly Jobless Claims, due later during the early North American session. Apart from this, the US bond yields might influence the USD price dynamics and produce provide some impetus to the dollar-denominated commodity.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1842.25
Today Daily Change-0.37
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1842.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA201840.87
Daily SMA501859.87
Daily SMA1001870.14
Daily SMA2001856.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1855.5
Previous Daily Low1834.14
Previous Weekly High1871.9
Previous Weekly Low1785.02
Previous Monthly High1959.42
Previous Monthly Low1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1847.34
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1842.3
Daily Pivot Point S11832.67
Daily Pivot Point S21822.73
Daily Pivot Point S31811.31
Daily Pivot Point R11854.03
Daily Pivot Point R21865.45
Daily Pivot Point R31875.39

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold recovers above $4,300 as markets react to weak US data

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.