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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eyes 38.2% Fib retracement support

  • Gold's weekly chart momentum studies have turned bearish. 
  • The metal risks falling to key support at $1,836. 

Gold looks set to extend its recent decline to $1,836 – the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of March to August rally – as crucial technical indicators have rolled over in favor of the bears. 

The weekly chart MACD histogram, an indicator used to gauge trend strength and trend changes, is now printing a deeper bar below the zero line, a sign of the strengthening of the downward momentum. 

The 5- and 10-week simple moving averages have produced a negative crossover. 

Further, last week's bearish marubozu candle shows bearish sentiment is quite strong. 

As such, a drop to support at $1,836 looks likely. A close above the last week's high of 1,966 is needed to invalidate the bearish outlook

At press time, gold is trading largely unchanged on the day at $1860 per ounce. Prices fell by over 4% last week as the US dollar's broad-based recovery rally gathered pace. 

Weekly chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1859.61
Today Daily Change-2.15
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open1861.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA201930.4
Daily SMA501942.58
Daily SMA1001845.41
Daily SMA2001724.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1875.23
Previous Daily Low1852.46
Previous Weekly High1955.66
Previous Weekly Low1848.84
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1861.16
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1866.53
Daily Pivot Point S11851.07
Daily Pivot Point S21840.38
Daily Pivot Point S31828.3
Daily Pivot Point R11873.84
Daily Pivot Point R21885.92
Daily Pivot Point R31896.61

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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