|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eyes $1796 upside target amid USD weakness – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) is on a steady recovery towards $1800, helped by the extension of the decline in the US dollar and concerns over surging covid cases in Asia. Speculative interest returns in gold while the cautious optimism, ahead of key US economic data, Fed’s decision and Biden’s likely tax hike, offers support to the yellow metal.

How is gold positioned technically?

Gold Price Chart: Key resistance and support levels

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that gold needs to take out the SMA100 one-hour at $1783 decisively, in order to challenge the $1786 barrier.

That level is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and Fibonacci 61.8% one-day.

The next resistance awaits at $1790, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

Friday’s high at $1796 could test the bullish commitment, as a strong hurdle around $1798-$1800 needs to be recaptured to unleash additional upside.

At that point, the previous week high and pivot point one-month R2 coincide.

Alternatively, strong support is seen at $1777, the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and Fibonacci 61.8% one-week.

A sustained move below the latter could expose Friday’s low at $1770.

Sellers then target the $1766 cap, which is the intersection of the pivot point one-day S1 and SMA10 one-day.

Here is how it looks on the tool       

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).