Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD drops 0.35% as dollar gains ground

The dollar's oversold bounce weighs over gold on Wednesday.
The yellow metal's daily chart shows the scope for a deeper price drop.
The dollar index's daily chart shows a bullish reversal candlestick pattern.

Omkar Godbole FXStreet Contributor

Gold is feeling the pull of gravity on Wednesday alongside an oversold bounce in the US dollar, the yellow metal's biggest nemesis.

At press time, gold is trading 0.34% lower on the day at $1,962 per ounce. The dollar index, which tracks the greenback's value against majors, is seen at 92.41 – up 0.11% on the day.

The yellow metal looks set to extend the drop as there are signs of downtrend exhaustion on the dollar index's daily chart. The greenback carved out a classic long-tailed hammer candle on Tuesday, indicating a potential for a robust corrective rally. The 14-day relative strength index's bullish divergence also shows scope for a significant bounce in the dollar.

Meanwhile, the long upper wick attached to gold's Tuesday's candle reflects a sell-on-the rise mentality.

The metal could test the 10-day simple moving average support, currently at $1,949. A violation there would expose the 50-day SMA located just below $1,900. On the higher side, $2,000 is the level to beat for the bulls.

Gold and dollar index daily charts

Gold outlook: Bearish

Gold technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1963.23
Today Daily Change	-6.97
Today Daily Change %	-0.35
Today daily open	1970.2

Trends
Daily SMA20	1966.84
Daily SMA50	1893.03
Daily SMA100	1805.78
Daily SMA200	1683.69

Levels
Previous Daily High	1992.42
Previous Daily Low	1963.36
Previous Weekly High	1976.79
Previous Weekly Low	1902.76
Previous Monthly High	2075.32
Previous Monthly Low	1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1981.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1974.46
Daily Pivot Point S1	1958.23
Daily Pivot Point S2	1946.27
Daily Pivot Point S3	1929.17
Daily Pivot Point R1	1987.29
Daily Pivot Point R2	2004.39
Daily Pivot Point R3	2016.35

Author

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3350; Fed Minutes in focus

GBP/USD struggles to find its footing and trades in negative territory below 1.3350, pressured by the renewed USD strength. US President Donald Trump said on the MoU signed with Iran to end the conflict was "over", causing safe-haven flows to dominate the action in financial markets. Later in the American session, the Fed will publish the minutes of the June policy meeting.

EUR/USD tests 1.1400 as USD gathers strength on Trump comments

EUR/USD comes under bearish pressure on Wednesday and declines toward 1.1400. US President Trump said the MoU signed with Iran to end the conflict was "over" and added that the didn't want to engage with Tehran anymore, triggering a flight-to-safety and boosting the USD.

Gold drops below $4,100 as Middle East tensions escalate

Gold turns south on Wednesday and trades deep in negative territory near $4,050 on Wednesday. Investors adopt a cautious stance and help the USD gather strength after US President Trump said at the NATO summit that the MoU signed with Iran to end the conflict was "over" and added he didn't want to engage with Tehran.

Pi Network crashes to a record low amid broader market stress

Pi Network (PI) price edges toward $0.1000 extending losses for the fifth straight day. Retail sentiment remains bearish as Open Interest and the funding rate decline. The technical outlook for PI is bearish as selling pressure mounts, despite oversold conditions.

Fed Minutes to shed light on Warsh's first meeting as Chair

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the Minutes of the June 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. The Minutes should shed more light on the Fed’s hawkish hold delivered at Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed Chair. Even so, doubts remain about how much the minutes will reveal, given Warsh's refusal to provide forward guidance.

Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.