|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD climbs to 1-week tops, around $1960 region amid weaker USD

  • A strong pickup in the euro weighed on the USD and benefitted the dollar-denominated commodity.
  • A weaker tone around the US bond yields provided an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.
  • Indications of stable opening in the US equity markets might cap the upside, at least for the time being.

Gold finally broke out of its daily consolidative price action and shot to over one-week tops, around the $1960 region during the early North American session.

The buying interest around the shared currency picked up pace after the ECB President Christine Lagarde said that there is no need to overreact to euro's recent gains. This, in turn, exerted some pressure on the US dollar and turned out to be one of the key factors that benefitted the dollar-denominated commodity.

The greenback was further pressured by a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields, which provided an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, the latest leg of a sudden uptick over the past hour or so could further be attributed to some technical buying above the $1951 horizontal resistance.

However, a goodish rebound in the US equity futures undermined the precious metal's safe-haven status and might keep a lid on any strong gains, at least for the time being. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before positioning for additional gains toward the next hurdle near the $1970-72 region.

On the economic data front, the US Initial Weekly Jobless Claims came in at 884K during the week that ended September 5. The reading matched last week's upwardly revised print and was slightly higher than consensus estimates of 846K, albeit did little to provide any meaningful impetus.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1959.1
Today Daily Change12.57
Today Daily Change %0.65
Today daily open1946.53
 
Trends
Daily SMA201948.01
Daily SMA501912.93
Daily SMA1001819.8
Daily SMA2001697.87
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1950.9
Previous Daily Low1920.16
Previous Weekly High1992.42
Previous Weekly Low1916.42
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1939.16
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1931.9
Daily Pivot Point S11927.49
Daily Pivot Point S21908.46
Daily Pivot Point S31896.75
Daily Pivot Point R11958.23
Daily Pivot Point R21969.94
Daily Pivot Point R31988.97

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7000 as USD remains on the back foot amid softer bond yields

AUD/USD fills a modest bearish gap on Monday, approaching 0.7000 during the Asian session amid holiday-thinned liquidity. The US Dollar remains on the back foot as US bond yields pull back from multi-year highs, supporting the pair. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook and the US-Iran standoff should limit USD losses. Moreover, diminishing odds of another RBA rate hike in November might cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range around 158.00

USD/JPY extends its range-bound price action at the start of a new week, trading around 158.00 as bulls remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities would step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot and cap the currency pair. However, geopolitical uncertainties could limit losses for the safe-haven buck amid thin liquidity due to a holiday in Japan and the US.

Gold advances to over one-week top, above $4,200 on softer bond yields/USD

Gold moves above $4,200 on Monday, hitting an over one-week high during the Asian session as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the defensive. However, the US-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz, along with a hawkish Fed, could limit USD losses. This could cap non-yielding bullion as traders look to US inflation figures and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech for a fresh impetus during the latter part of this week.

Week ahead: US CPI, France’s budget crisis and Q3 earnings to set the market tone
The US dollar held relatively strong this week, despite the disappointing US jobs report on October 2, which further decreased the probability of a back-to-back rate hike by the Fed at the upcoming gathering on October 28.
Middle East War updates: New attack launched on Saudi airport
Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week. In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms “risk-on” and “risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?