|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls need to cross $1,802 to regain control – Confluence Detector

Gold prices consolidate Thursday’s losses below $1,800 threshold during the early Friday’s quiet session. The bullion snapped the three-day winning streak with the heaviest decline since June 05 the previous day. However, the bears seem less convinced to even refresh the weekly low, which in turn teases bulls for re-entry.

While searching for the options, our Technical Confluence Indicator highlights $1,802 as immediate key resistance. The level comprises the middle band of the Bollinger on 1H formation, coupled with 200-HMA and a joint of 5-bar and 50-bar SMAs on the four-hour play.

Given the precious metal’s clear break above $1,802, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 200SMA on 15M could test the bulls around $1,807. Though, the commodity’s ability to cross $1,807 gives it a ticket to the multi-year high around $1,818.

On the contrary, the previous low on 1H chart and the lower band of 15M Bollinger restricts the quote’s immediate downside near $1,796.

Should the bears keep the reins past-$1,796, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of one week, close to $1,789, hold the gate for the extended south-run towards the previous month’s top surrounding $1,786.

Additionally, $1,780 should be considered as an extra filter to the south ahead of diverting the sellers towards the sub-$1,750 area.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold bulls remain on the sidelines as USD rallies to fresh YTD peak

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest Asian session uptick, and currently trades just below $4,150, nearly unchanged for the day amid mixed cues. As investors look past Friday's disappointing US jobs data, the US Dollar regains strong positive traction and rallies to a fresh high since April 2025. This is seen as a key factor capping the commodity, though receding bets for an October rate hike by the Federal Reserve help limit the downside.

Dogecoin: ETF inflows and technicals fuel recovery
Dogecoin (DOGE) extends its gains, trading above $0.096 on Monday after finding support around the key support zone last week. Continued inflows into spot DOGE Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), alongside strengthening derivatives metrics, indicate improving market sentiment. Meanwhile, the constructive technical outlook suggests the meme coin could extend its gains if the key level holds.
Economics week ahead
In the U.S., the September ISM Services index is expected to ease modestly while continuing to signal expansion, with particular attention on whether price pressures remain elevated. In Canada, the labor market likely rebounded in September, although broader trends still point to a cooling pace of employment growth.
The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.