|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls catch a breather above $1,850 amid virus woes

  • Gold fades recovery moves from $1,858.43, stays near two-week top.
  • Looming border close in Britain, rumors over Japan’s canceled Olympic and EU’s tough lockdowns probe the bulls.
  • Biden administration turned down hopes of vaccine availabilities in the Pharmacies by February.
  • Stimulus hopes favor the bulls but monthly PMIs will decorate the calendar.

Following its failure to please the bulls, Gold eases to $1,869.70 during the initial Asian session on Friday. The yellow metal refreshed two-week top the previous day on stimulus hopes but the coronavirus (COVID-19) and downbeat data from the US, not to forget upbeat ECB, probes the bulls afterward.

Not only downbeat comments from US President Joe Biden, concerning the virus, but the recently appointed US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director’s doubts over the availability of vaccines in the pharmacies versus promised also signal the virus woes.

On the other hand, European Leaders are jostling for further strict activity measures as The Guardian said, “Angela Merkel has warned of the danger of a third wave from the new variants of coronavirus, as EU leaders drew up a blueprint that could lead to a ban on travelers from the UK and restrictions on movement across the bloc’s internal borders.”

Further, The Telegraph cites British policymakers push to UK PM Boris Johnson to close the national boundaries whereas The Times said, “Japan govt has privately concluded Tokyo Olympics will have to be canceled because of coronavirus.”

Elsewhere, the incoming US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen showed readiness to keep the pressure on China. Further, comments from the policymakers at the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) have been cautiously optimistic off-late.

Against this backdrop, S&P 500 Futures drop 0.08% after refreshing the record top the previous day. Though, the US 10-year Treasury yields keep the upside momentum to 1.11% by press time.

Looking forward, initial readings of January’s activity numbers from the US, the UK and Europe will be important to watch. Though, virus updates, Sino-American tension and Biden’s any fresh moves directly affecting the risk should be considered the main drivers.

Technical analysis

Thursday’s candlestick on the daily chart suggests range-bound trading to prevail between the 50-day and 21-day SMAs, respectively around $1,859.50 and $1,876.50. 100-day SMA near $1,883 adds to the upside barriers.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1869.7
Today Daily Change0.58
Today Daily Change %0.03%
Today daily open1869.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA201876.86
Daily SMA501860
Daily SMA1001883.53
Daily SMA2001846.86
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1875.2
Previous Daily Low1858.43
Previous Weekly High1863.83
Previous Weekly Low1816.96
Previous Monthly High1906.87
Previous Monthly Low1775.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1864.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1868.79
Daily Pivot Point S11859.97
Daily Pivot Point S21850.81
Daily Pivot Point S31843.2
Daily Pivot Point R11876.74
Daily Pivot Point R21884.35
Daily Pivot Point R31893.51

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher above 0.7050 as hot CPI lifts RBA rate hike odds

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7055 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter inflation data bolsters expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes. The US September Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report will be in the spotlight later on Thursday.



USD/JPY retakes 158.00 as USD stalls the post-FOMC corrective slide

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Thursday, climbing back above 158.00 as the US Dollar reverses part of the post-FOMC pullback from a two-week high. Bulls, however, await key US macro data – the Advance Q3 GDP and the PCE Price Index – before positioning for further gains. Focus will then shift to the crucial BoJ policy update on Friday amid firming expectations for a December rate hike.

Gold weakens further below $4,050 amid Fed rate hike bets and Iran risks

Gold sticks to intraday losses below the $4,050 level heading into the European session ,and for now seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak to the weekly top set the previous day. The US Dollar attracts fresh buyers after Wednesday's post-FOMC corrective slide from a two-week high and is seen as a key factor weighing on the precious metal.

Pi Network risks another lower leg as the broader crypto market slips

Pi Network is trading in the red on Thursday, retreating toward a near-term support around $0.0740. The Fear and Greed Index declines to 43 on Thursday, while total liquidations exceed $350 million over the last 24 hours, suggesting a deterioration in investors' risk appetite and a sell-side bias. The technical outlook for PI is bearish, with selling pressure building.

European Central Bank is expected to hold interest rates despite high inflation pressures

The European Central Bank concludes its two-day monetary policy meeting on Thursday and will announce its decision at 13:15 GMT. The bank is widely expected to leave the interest rate on the Main Refinancing Operations and the Deposit Facility unchanged at 2.65% and 2.50%, respectively, after having raised both of them by 25 basis points in September.

Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.