|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD battles 200-SMA on 4H chart, US stimulus, Fed eyed

  • Gold surges after a descending triangle breakout on the 4H chart.
  • 200-SMA challenges bull’s commitment above $1850.
  •  Markets await the Fed and a likely US fiscal stimulus deal.

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates Tuesday’s surge, trading close to the weekly tops just below the $1860 barrier.

The yellow metal rallied nearly 1% a day before and now looks to build on the upside amid rising expectations that the US lawmakers will clinch the much-awaited coronavirus relief aid package.

However, the XAU bulls remain mindful of the Fed decision due later on Wednesday, with likely upbeat projections from the American central bank seen hurting the sentiment around gold.

From a technical perspective, the four-hour (4H) chart shows that gold is struggling to recapture the horizontal 200-simple moving average (SMA) at $1859.

Acceptance above the latter could prompt the bulls to resume its upbeat momentum, in the wake of a descending triangle breakout confirmed early Tuesday.

Gold Price Chart: Four-hour 

The next relevant resistance is seen at $1875, the December 8 high. The bulls could then eye a test of the $1900 mark.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits beneath the overbought territory, near 67.00, suggesting that there is scope for further upside.

On the flip side, the horizontal 50-SMA at $1845 could be back on the sellers’ radars. That level was the previous crucial resistance.

Further south, the 21-SMA support at $1840 could likely be probed.

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1856.10
Today Daily Change1.57
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open1854.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA201834.31
Daily SMA501872.81
Daily SMA1001908.08
Daily SMA2001810.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1855.47
Previous Daily Low1825.59
Previous Weekly High1875.34
Previous Weekly Low1822.22
Previous Monthly High1965.58
Previous Monthly Low1764.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1844.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1837
Daily Pivot Point S11834.92
Daily Pivot Point S21815.31
Daily Pivot Point S31805.04
Daily Pivot Point R11864.8
Daily Pivot Point R21875.07
Daily Pivot Point R31894.68

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high, trades below $4,400

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).