|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD battles 200-SMA on 4H chart, US stimulus, Fed eyed

  • Gold surges after a descending triangle breakout on the 4H chart.
  • 200-SMA challenges bull’s commitment above $1850.
  •  Markets await the Fed and a likely US fiscal stimulus deal.

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates Tuesday’s surge, trading close to the weekly tops just below the $1860 barrier.

The yellow metal rallied nearly 1% a day before and now looks to build on the upside amid rising expectations that the US lawmakers will clinch the much-awaited coronavirus relief aid package.

However, the XAU bulls remain mindful of the Fed decision due later on Wednesday, with likely upbeat projections from the American central bank seen hurting the sentiment around gold.

From a technical perspective, the four-hour (4H) chart shows that gold is struggling to recapture the horizontal 200-simple moving average (SMA) at $1859.

Acceptance above the latter could prompt the bulls to resume its upbeat momentum, in the wake of a descending triangle breakout confirmed early Tuesday.

Gold Price Chart: Four-hour 

The next relevant resistance is seen at $1875, the December 8 high. The bulls could then eye a test of the $1900 mark.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits beneath the overbought territory, near 67.00, suggesting that there is scope for further upside.

On the flip side, the horizontal 50-SMA at $1845 could be back on the sellers’ radars. That level was the previous crucial resistance.

Further south, the 21-SMA support at $1840 could likely be probed.

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1856.10
Today Daily Change1.57
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open1854.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA201834.31
Daily SMA501872.81
Daily SMA1001908.08
Daily SMA2001810.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1855.47
Previous Daily Low1825.59
Previous Weekly High1875.34
Previous Weekly Low1822.22
Previous Monthly High1965.58
Previous Monthly Low1764.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1844.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1837
Daily Pivot Point S11834.92
Daily Pivot Point S21815.31
Daily Pivot Point S31805.04
Daily Pivot Point R11864.8
Daily Pivot Point R21875.07
Daily Pivot Point R31894.68

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets fresh supply and tests 0.7100 amid weak Australian PMIs

AUD/USD has come under fresh selling pressure and is testing 0.7100 in the Asian session on Wednesday. Australia's flash PMIs showed manufacturing slipped into contraction and services expanding slowly for a second straight month, renewing the pair's downside. Furthermore, a bullish US Dollar acts as a headwind for the pair as traders keenly await the crucial Trump-Xi summit on Thursday. Meanwhile, markets shrug off US-Iran indirect talks.

USD/JPY stands firm near mid-157.00s, close to two-week high

USD/JPY hovers around mid-157.00s in the Asian session on Wednesday, near two-week highs touched last Friday as the BoJ's dovish rate hike continues to undermine the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm amid the Fed's hawkish stance, adding support to the pair, though JPY intervention fears cap further gains. Markets pay little heed to the completion of the round of US-Iran indirect talks ahead of Trump-Xi meeting.

Gold falls to weekly troughs below $4,300

Gold rapidly leaves behind two daily upticks in a row and comes under heightened downside pressure midweek. Indeed, the precious metal breaches below the $4,300 mark per troy ounce to reach weekly lows amid the marked recovery in the US Dollar and the generalised upbeat tone in the US money market.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum consolidate gains as XRP extends breakout
Bitcoin (BTC) is moderating on Wednesday, trading near $86,000 as the crypto market broadly consolidates. Ethereum (ETH) mirrors BTC’s stable outlook, holding above $2,700. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, edges higher for the sixth consecutive day, currently sitting above $1.61 as bulls tighten their grip.
Oil rebounds above $90: Why is the Canadian Dollar still falling?
USD/CAD extends its advance on Wednesday and trades around 1.4090 at the time of writing, up 0.21% on the day. The pair remains close to its recent highs, supported by a firm US Dollar (USD), while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggles to recover losses from the recent decline in Oil prices. Oil dynamics, however, are becoming less negative for the Loonie.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.