- Gold to resume the downtrend at the opening on Monday; triangle breakdown could extend to 1,750.
- Consolidation is likely if support above 1,900 remains intact.
Gold price closed the trading on Friday at $1,940.38 per ounce. The precious metal’s price action has since August 6, narrowed under a descending trendline. Apart from the dip to 1,862 on August 12, XAU/USD has established formidable support above 1,900. Subsequently, the price is trading within the apex of a descending triangle. If the ongoing rejection is not stopped at 1,900, there is a big chance that the breakdown will extend to support at 1,750.
XAU/USD 4-hour chart
-637355896368576139.png)
The above bearish picture will be confirmed if the price drops below the 50 Simple Moving Average and the 100 SMA. Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) downward movement suggests that sellers have the upper hand. Retreat under the midline would cement the influence sellers have over the price at the opening on Monday.
However, the daily timeframe shows gold holding above the 50-day SMA. This moving average has been indicative of gold price continuing uptrend in the past. Therefore, if the price keeps above this moving average, there is a chance that XAU/USD will resume the uptrend, invalidating the bearish picture altogether.
XAU/USD daily chart
-637355896896571757.png)
It is also essential to consider the possibility of consolidation taking precedence, mostly if support at 1,900 remains intact. The RSI in the daily range puts emphasis sideways trading taking over in the coming week.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD holds below 1.0750 ahead of key US data
EUR/USD trades in a tight range below 1.0750 in the European session on Friday. The US Dollar struggles to gather strength ahead of key PCE Price Index data, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, and helps the pair hold its ground.
USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments
USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after surging above this level on the Bank of Japan's decision to leave the policy settings unchanged. BoJ Governor said weak Yen was not impacting prices but added that they will watch FX developments closely.
Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index
Gold price struggles to attract any meaningful buyers amid the emergence of fresh USD buying. Bets that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer amid sticky inflation help revive the USD demand.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets
The core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen as the more influential measure of inflation in terms of Fed positioning. The index is forecast to rise 0.3% on a monthly basis in March, matching February’s increase.