|

Gold Price Analysis: Recapturing $1800 critical for XAU/USD to unleashing additional upside – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating its latest leg up to fresh two-month highs just shy of the $1800 mark. The upbeat momentum in gold was revived by the renewed sell-off in the US Treasury yields amid an uncertain global economic outlook, thanks to the surging covid infections. Meanwhile, the ongoing decline in the US dollar also lent support to the yellow metal, although the further upside was capped by the recovery in global stocks.

Let’s see how is gold positioned technically?

Gold Price Chart: Key resistance and support levels

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that gold needs to crack this critical resistance at $1798-1800 to unleashing the additional upside. That level is the convergence of the previous day high; pivot point one-week R1 and pivot point one-month R2.

The SMA100 one-day at $1804 could challenge the bullish commitment, as all eyes remain set on the $1811 upside target.

At that point, the Fibonacci 161.8% one-month coincides with the pivot point one-day R2.

On the flip side, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day at $1792 likely limits the immediate downside.

The next best for the bears is seen at $1789, the confluence of the SMA5 four-hour and Fibonacci 38.2% one-day.

The intersection of the previous week high and SMA10 four-hour at $1784 could act as strong support.

The last line of defense for the XAU bulls awaits at $1776, the previous day low and SMA5 one-day.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.