|

Gold Price Analysis: Disappointing US CPI to revive XAU/USD’s bullish momentum

Gold is dragged down, trading around $1,830. However, a big miss on US CPI may drive XAU/USD above the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $1850, FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta informs.

See – Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls come out of the shadows to mull a test of $1850 – DBS Bank

US dollar’s haven demand lifted on Middle East tensions

“Heading into the US CPI showdown this Wednesday, gold returns to the red zone, as the US dollar’s safe-haven demand remains in vogue amid an escalation of tensions between Israel and Gaza. Further, markets remain unnerved ahead of the US CPI April month report amid concerns of a potential acceleration in price pressures and its implication on the economy.”

“A CPI disappointment could tame inflation fears and squash Fed’s tapering and tightening expectations, which is likely to trigger a renewed burst of demand for the gold price.”

“A daily closing above the 200-DMA at $1850 could revive the bullish bets towards the $1900 mark.”

“Gold prices could challenge Tuesday’s low of $1818, below which the May 7 low of $1813 will be on the sellers’ radars. The 100-DMA at $1796 could act as a strong support if the correction from multi-month highs of $1846 regains traction.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stabilizes near 0.7100 as the post-Fed USD rally pauses

AUD/USD consolidates the previous day's losses near 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar pauses its hawkish Fed-inspired rally to its highest level since late July. However, RBA rate-hike bets and hopes for US-Iran diplomatic efforts lift risk sentiment and support the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar and the major.

USD/JPY reverses a dip below 156.00 as focus shifts to BoJ

USD/JPY is reversing a brief dip below 156.00 in the Asian session on Thursday, looking to snap a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week top set the previous day. The US Dollar pauses following the post-Fed rally to seven-week highs, while a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's policy normalization path supports the Japanese Yen. This keeps the pair's upside limited, with the focus now shifting to the BoJ policy decision due on Friday.

Gold bounces but not out of the woods yet

Gold is facing fresh sellers above $4,300 early Thursday, stalling its recovery from six-week lows of $4,235 reached soon after hawkish US Federal Reserve monetary policy announcements.

Bitcoin, crypto market see muted activity following FOMC rate hike

Bitcoin traded above $76,000 on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds target range to 3.75%-4.00%. The unanimous 12-0 decision marked the Fed’s first rate hike since July 2023.

The Fed rate hike: What happens now?
The dust has settled on tonight’s Fed meeting and the market reaction is clear: the Fed’s signal that there could be a series of rate hikes has spooked financial markets. Bonds sold off at the short end of the Treasury curve and US stocks also fell, led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which slipped more than 1% on Wednesday night.
How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.