Gold Price Analysis: Bears back in play on Fed's Powell, eyeing $1,698

  • Gold is on the way to test the bull's commitments at the $1,700 level on Powell.
  • US yields and dollar get a boost from a lack of guidance on inflation for the bond market. 

The price of gold is soaking up the so far benign comments from the Federal Reserve's chair, Jerome Powell who is being interviewed by the Wall Street Journals chief economic correspondent in a live webinar.

At the time of writing, gold is down on the day by some -0.4% at the time of writing, reading around $1,700.

Markets are looking for guidance from Powell considering the risks associated with helicopter money from the government and the Fed's lower for longer tactic in seeking to achieve their sustainable 2% inflation target and maximum employment objective. 

He said that the Fed will be patient in the event that inflation runs moderately above 2% considering how long inflation has been so low. 

When questioned about the recent rally in rates, Powell said the bond market volatility has caught his attention but he said it is ‘not appropriate’ to isolate one interest rate or price and transient inflation will not affect inflation over the long run. 

As it is clear that Powell is not going to change the script, the bond market is falling and US yields are rising with a bid in the US dollar, weighing on gold prices. 

 ''This regime doesn't bode well for investment flows into gold,'' analysts at TD Securities have argued.

''But the silver lining is that the long gold trade doesn't look all that crowded anymore.''

Looking to Comex positioning, there is ample dry-powder and gold will likely act as a store of value in risk-off ebbs and flows between now and then next milestone on the global economic recovery. 

Gold technical analysis

As per the prior analysis, Gold Price Analysis: Bears looking to test bull's commitments at $1,698, the psychological level at 1700 could come under pressure following this event. 

This brings in two key targets into scope, $1,698 and $1,685. Please see the link above for the thesis behind the two levels.


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

Take advantage of market volatility with our daily Forex, Crypto and Indices Trade Ideas!

Become Premium!    

Latest Forex News

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD recaptures 1.2050 amid upbeat EZ PMIs, USD decline

EUR/USD is trading above 1.2050 after upbeat Eurozone Preliminary PMIs. The US dollar remains heavily offered across the board amid a mixed market mood, in the wake of Biden's plan for a tax hike. US PMIs awaited. 


GBP/USD holds gains below 1.3900 amid upbeat UK data

GBP/USD is consolidating gains below 1.3900, as the US dollar resumes decline after Biden's tax hike plan fuelled rally fades. The UK Retail Sales and PMIs beat expectations, offering support to the pound. 


Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP plummet, breaching critical support levels

Bitcoin price has dropped 12.7% since yesterday and shows no signs of stopping. Ethereum price follows the pioneer crypto’s lead and might retest $2,000 again. Unlike BTC or ETH, XRP price shows signs of recovery as long as it stays above a critical demand zone.

Read more

XAU/USD eases from tops, downside remains cushioned

Gold struggled to capitalize on its intraday positive move to the $1,790 region. A modest bounce in the equity markets, US bond yields exerted some pressure. The prevalent USD selling bias should help limit the downside for the commodity.

Gold News

Bionano Genomics Inc runs into technical resistance, put options may work here

BNGO shares have continued to suffer post the retail meme crowd moving on. BNGO shares bounce from lows as DeMark buy signal flashes on Monday. BNGO shares trend up to resistance at 100 day moving average.

Read more