|

Gold drops to fresh session lows, back near $1280 level

   •  Fails to capitalize on last week’s goodish bounce, despite a subdued USD demand.
   •  A goodish bounce in US bond yields/risk-on mood prompts some fresh selling.
   •  Traders eye US core PCE price index for some short-term impetus ahead of the Fed.

Gold met with some fresh supply at the start of a new trading week and eroded a major part of Friday's goodish up-move to 1-1/2 week tops. 

The US GDP report released on Friday showed that the US economy is estimated to have expanded at 3.2% annualized pace during the first quarter of 2019, though weaker details exerted some downward pressure US Dollar and extended some support to the dollar-denominated commodity.

This coupled with softer inflation data further reinforced market expectations that the Fed will stick to its cautious stance and was evident from a sharp intraday slide in the US Treasury bond yields, which provided an additional boost and lifted the non-yielding yellow metal closer to $1290 level.

The USD remained on the defensive through the early European session on Monday, albeit a goodish bounce in the US bond yields and the prevalent risk-on mood, amid growing optimism over a possible US-China trade deal dented the precious metal's relative safe-haven status and seemed to prompt some fresh selling.

Moving ahead, today's important release of the core PCE price index - the Fed's favoured inflation measure, will now be looked upon for some short-term trading impetus but the key focus will be on the latest FOMC monetary policy update on Wednesday and Friday's closely watched US monthly jobs report (Fed).

Technical levels to watch

Any subsequent slide below the $1280 level now seems to find some support near the $1274 horizontal zone, below which the commodity is likely to head back towards challenging multi-month lows support near the $1267-66 region. On the flip side, the $1285 level now seems to act as an immediate hurdle, which if cleared might assist the metal to aim back towards reclaiming the key $1300 psychological mark.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD off highs, back to 1.3620

GBP/USD remains slightly on the defensive at the end of the week, receding to the low 1.3600s after hitting fresh tops past 1.3670 earlier in the day. Cable’s correction comes after two daily gains in a row and amid a tepid advance in the Greenback, while poor UK data also accompany the downside.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1700

EUR/USD now trades with modest losses around 1.1670 following another unsuccessful atempt to advance past 1.1700 the figure in a convincing fashion. The pair’s decline follows a maginal rebound in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess recent US data as well as developments from the US bond market.

Gold trims gains, recedes to the sub-$4,600 area

Gold rapidly leaves behind Thursday’s inconclusive price action and advances markedly on Friday, briefly surpassing the $4,600 mark per troy ounce to hit three-month peaks. Meanwhile, the precious metal’s solid performance comes despite marginal gains in the buck coupled with another day of rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls accelerate rally amid rising ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market remains bullish on Friday, led by Bitcoin’s surge above $77,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror BTC’s positive outlook, trading near $2,400 and $1.35, respectively.

Week ahead – Fed’s Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings to dictate markets

Kevin Warsh to make his Jackson Hole debut amid confusing messaging. But a major hawkish surprise unlikely after bond market intervention. Nvidia earnings to also determine market direction as stock rally cools.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.