Gold drops from six-year highs on turn-around Tuesday


  • Gold prices dropped heavily on the drop of a trade war headline.
  • Risk is sensitive but gold bulls stop in on the downside at the 1480s.

Gold prices on turn-around Tuesday flipped over from six-year highs following news that the US was delaying tariffs on China with hopes of further talks to take place in September. Spot gold dropped from the highs of $1,535 to a low of $1,480, ending on Wall Street  - 0.60% as market sentiment still remains cautionary on any signs of progress between the US and China - (Hong Kong could well be an underestimated risk to the trade progress between the two nations and global growth). As for futures, Gold for December delivery on Comex dropped  $3.10, or 0.2%, to settle at $1,514.10 an ounce after trading as high as $1,546.10 an ounce. Overall, the price of the safe-haven metal is still up 18% year-to-date rise, most of the rise in august alone.

U.S. will delay imposing 10% tariffs on certain Chinese products until December

The U.S. Trade Representative’s office said the U.S. would delay imposing 10% tariffs on certain Chinese products until December 15th. this follows the apparent discussion between Robert Lighthizer, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He. Officials are said to engage in talks again within two weeks. However, the goods news was dimmed down within the same hours as to when there were reports that the Chinese military was headed to the Hong Kong border as protestors continue to demonstrate and keep the Hong Kong airport locked down. 

US CPI meets market expectations

US CPI printed in line with market expectations in July at 0.3% m/m, pushing annual inflation up 0.2%pts from June to 1.8%:

"Core inflation (ex food and energy) was a touch stronger than expected, also at 0.3% m/m, which saw the annual measure lift to 2.2% from 2.1% in June. While there appears to be some temporary strength in the details (airline fares, tobacco), two consecutive 0.3% m/m rises for core inflation may give some policy makers cause to believe inflation pressures are a touch stronger than previously assumed," analysts at ANZ Bank explained. 

Gold levels

Gold is holding territories above the psychologically important 1500 level, although 1480 has shown its resilience on Tuesday. A break there pens risk to 1450s and 1402. On a continuation, to the upside, the 1528/30s comes as a prior support area where the price would be expected to hold initial tests. However, on a full-on break higher, bulls will look to the 127.2% Fibo target which is located around 1,560, guarding the Oct 2012 highs at 1795.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1502.38
Today Daily Change -8.72
Today Daily Change % -0.58
Today daily open 1511.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1445.54
Daily SMA50 1406.1
Daily SMA100 1346.94
Daily SMA200 1311.18
Levels
Previous Daily High 1518.48
Previous Daily Low 1488.19
Previous Weekly High 1510.16
Previous Weekly Low 1436.96
Previous Monthly High 1452.72
Previous Monthly Low 1382.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1506.91
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1499.76
Daily Pivot Point S1 1493.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 1475.63
Daily Pivot Point S3 1463.07
Daily Pivot Point R1 1523.66
Daily Pivot Point R2 1536.22
Daily Pivot Point R3 1553.95

 

 

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