|

GBP/USD to flip into the 1.37-1.40 region on a Brexit agreement – Westpac

Peak in coronavirus cases and hopes for at least a staged post-Brexit trade deal are pushing GBP/USD towards 1.37. Nonetheless, failure in trade talks could still flip the cable below 1.30, economists at Westpac apprise.

Key quotes

“The factors influencing GBP in the near-term are the clear signs of COVID-19 cases having peaked and the progress in EU/UK trade talks. The daily Covid case count has pulled back to a still high 18,213 on 25th Nov from over 30K earlier in November and the R-rate is back to 1, indicating that the lockdown will be relaxed on December 2, but still with tight and tiered restrictions.” 

“Of critical importance is the state of EU/UK post-Brexit trade talks. Face-to-face talks are now resuming and hopes remain that at least a staged deal can be struck in advance of EC’s 10-11 Dec Summit. A deal could still flip GBP/USD into the 1.37-1.40 area. However, the next two weeks remain critical.” 

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD seems fragile below 1.1700 as Middle East war boosts energy prices

The EUR/USD pair trades flat at around 1.1680 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, but broadly seems vulnerable, being close to its five-week low. The major currency pair is under pressure as surging oil prices due to the United States-Israel war with Iran have increased the risks of higher inflation for the Old Continent.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 with bearish pressure intact

GBP/USD edges higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.3400 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold stays bullish as Iran war continues to spur safe-haven flows

Gold is finding renewed bids in Asian trades on Tuesday, making another attempt to regain the $5,400 level amid persistent demand for safe-haven assets as the Iran war extends. A softer risk tone remains in play as US President Donald Trump continues to threaten deeper escalation to the ongoing war with Iran, warning that a “big wave” is yet to come.

Top Crypto Gainers: Near Protocol, Virtuals Protocol, and Morpho lead market recovery

Near Protocol, Virtuals Protocol, and Morpho are leading the market recovery with double-digit gains over the last 24 hours. Technically, NEAR extends the breakout of the falling channel pattern, VIRTUAL holds above the 50-day EMA, while MORPHO tests a crucial resistance. 

The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time

At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.

Grass 20% bullish breakout defies broader market weakness

Grass (GRASS) is edging up above $0.30 at the time of writing on Monday. The token’s notable 20% intraday surge stands out amid heightened volatility in the broader crypto market.