|

GBP/USD steadily climbs back closer to 1.2000 mark amid broad-based USD weakness

  • GBP/USD once again finds support near the 200-day SMA and regains positive traction on Friday.
  • Retreating US bond yields prompts some selling around the USD, which is seen as lending support.
  • Rising bets for additional rate hikes by the BoE and the Fed warrant caution for aggressive traders.

The GBP/USD pair attracts fresh buyers in the vicinity of a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and reverses a part of the overnight losses back closer to the weekly low. The pair sticks to its intraday gains and is currently placed near the top end of the daily range, just a few pips below the 1.2000 psychological mark.

A modest pullback in the US Treasury bond yields prompts some selling around the US Dollar, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor pushing the GBP/USD pair higher. The British Pound draws additional support from rising bets for additional rate hikes by the Bank of England (BoE). It is worth recalling that the BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said on Wednesday that some further increase in bank rates may turn out to be appropriate, though added that nothing is decided. This was followed by hawkish remarks by the BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill on Thursday, noting that Britain's economy is showing slightly more momentum than expected and pay growth is proving a bit faster than the central bank forecast last month.

The downside for the USD, however, seems cushioned, at least for the time being, amid firming expectations for further policy tightening by the Federal Reserve. The US CPI, PPI and the PCE Price Index released recently indicated that inflation isn't coming down quite as fast as hoped. Moreover, the incoming upbeat US macro data, including the Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, pointed to an economy that remains resilient, which should allow the US central bank to stick to its hawkish stance for longer. Adding to this, a slew of FOMC members backed the case for higher rate hikes to tame stubbornly high inflation. This should act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and continue to lend some support to the Greenback.

It is worth recalling that the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond rose to its highest level since last November and the rate-sensitive two-year Treasury note had shot to levels last seen in July 2007 on Thursday. This, along with the GBP/USD pair's two-way price action witnessed over the past four weeks or so, warrants some caution for aggressive traders and positioning for a firm near-term direction. Next on tap is the release of the final UK Services PMI, which will be followed by the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI later during the early North American session. The data might provide some impetus to the major and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities on the last day of the week.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1986
Today Daily Change0.0035
Today Daily Change %0.29
Today daily open1.1951
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2047
Daily SMA501.2141
Daily SMA1001.1977
Daily SMA2001.1919
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2036
Previous Daily Low1.1925
Previous Weekly High1.2148
Previous Weekly Low1.1928
Previous Monthly High1.2402
Previous Monthly Low1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1967
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1994
Daily Pivot Point S11.1905
Daily Pivot Point S21.1859
Daily Pivot Point S31.1794
Daily Pivot Point R11.2016
Daily Pivot Point R21.2082
Daily Pivot Point R31.2128

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD steadies below 0.7100 as the post-Fed USD rally pauses

AUD/USD consolidates the previous day's losses to a near one-month low, trading below 0.7100 during the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar pauses its hawkish, Fed-inspired rally to its highest level since late July. Meanwhile, the US-Iran standoff keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play and underpins the safe-haven buck, capping the Aussie despite RBA rate-hike bets.

USD/JPY pulls back from two-week high; slips below 156.00 as focus shifts to BoJ

USD/JPY drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week top set the previous day. The US Dollar pauses following the post-Fed rally to its highest level since late July, while a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's policy normalization path supports the Japanese Yen. This drags the pair below 156.00 as the focus shifts to the BoJ meeting, starting today.

Gold eyes $4,300 as USD pauses hawkish Fed-inspired rally

Gold climbs to the $4,300 neighborhood during the Asian session on Thursday, reversing much of the previous day's losses to a six-week low as the US Dollar eases from its highest level since late July. Meanwhile, oil-driven inflation fears continue to fuel rate hike bets on the back of the Fed's hawkish outlook. Furthermore, US-Iran tensions favor USD bulls and should cap the non-yielding bullion.

Fed raises 2026 interest rate forecast to 4.1%, lifts PCE inflation projections
The Federal Reserve's (Fed) latest dot plot projections, released by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday, show policymakers now expect interest rates to stand at 4.1% by the end of 2026, up from 3.8% in June.
Fed recap: One hike down, more to come? The Fed’s new rate path says yes
The Federal Reserve (Fed) raised its Fed Fund Target Range (FFTR) range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% in a unanimous decision, saying the move would support a timelier return to its 2% inflation goal.
How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.