|

GBP/USD remains under pressure on firmer US dollar

  • GBP/USD under pressure as greenback perks up again.
  • Risk-off markets are taking their toll on forex at the start of the week. 

GBP/USD is down some 0.17% on the day as the greenback makes back some ground following a dismal performance at the end of last week's trade.

Cable is trading at 1.3841 after falling from a high of 1.3878 to a low of 1.3827.

Risk appetite in global markets is weak at the start of the week following poor Chinese data and the US.

Data on Friday showed a plunge in US consumer confidence. The survey showed US consumer sentiment dropped sharply in early August to its lowest level in a decade. 

The fall was one of the six largest drops in the past 50 years of the survey and it underlines a broader concern at economic growth as virus cases rise around the world.

Meanwhile, a sharp slowdown in China's factory output and Retail Sales growth suggested to the market the world is a long way off from recovering from the coronavirus economic slowdown.

As a consequence, the US dollar has edged higher and the riskier currencies, such as GBP, generally lost out.

Bullish sentiment on GBP has gotten somewhat thinner of late as traders ponder as to whether the Bank of England’s optimistic outlook given the recent virus wave will be sustainable. 

Investors, in this respect, will be very keen to scam this weeks calendar for domestic clues that could offer some clarity on the matter.

First up, July’s jobs data on Tuesday may see a tick lower in the Unemployment Rate as a supportive factor for the pound as the economy opens up. 

Then, inflation data on Wednesday will be important and the focus will be on the headline CPI YoY outcome. 

Finally, Retail Sales for July will be eyed for signs that the delta variant took its toll on the economy.

Meanwhile, the US dollar has firmed ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes this Wednesday that will be scanned for signs as to when the Fed might contemplate tapering its bond purchases.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3837
Today Daily Change-0.0031
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open1.3868
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3835
Daily SMA501.3889
Daily SMA1001.3927
Daily SMA2001.3778
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3875
Previous Daily Low1.3791
Previous Weekly High1.3894
Previous Weekly Low1.3791
Previous Monthly High1.3984
Previous Monthly Low1.3572
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3843
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3823
Daily Pivot Point S11.3814
Daily Pivot Point S21.376
Daily Pivot Point S31.373
Daily Pivot Point R11.3898
Daily Pivot Point R21.3929
Daily Pivot Point R31.3983

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
CFTC Report: Defensive currency positioning takes hold
The week in one sentence: Sterling and Euro shorts deepened in the week to September 22, while Yen longs were cut sharply. Oil positioning improved despite a steep price decline, and Gold exposure remained crowded. The main signal was a more defensive currency positioning backdrop.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.