|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Tests the upside break of triangle near 1.1350

  • An explosion of a neutral triangle results in wider ticks and heavy volume.
  • A bull cross, represented by 20-and 50-EMAs, indicates more upside ahead.
  • For a confident upside, the RSI (14) is needed to sustain in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00.

The GBP/USD pair is displaying back-and-forth moves in a narrow range of 1.1344-1.1370 in the Tokyo session. The asset has turned sideways following the footprints of the US dollar index (DXY), which is indicating volatility contraction. The risk-off market mood is gaining more traction as S&P500 futures have extended their gains. Also, the 10-year US Treasury yields have surrendered the crucial support of 4% despite firmer bets for hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) policy.

On a four-hour scale, the pound bulls are testing the north-side break of the symmetrical triangle chart pattern.  The downward-sloping trendline of the above-mentioned chart pattern is placed from September 13 high at 1.1738 while the upward-sloping trendline is plotted from September 26 low at 1.0339. An explosion of a neutral triangle results in wider ticks and heavy volume.

A bull cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 1.1125, adds to the upside filters.

Adding to that, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 but requires sustaining in the range comfortably.

Going forward, an upside break of Monday’s high at 1.1440 will drive the cable towards September 14 high at 1.1590, followed by September 13 high at 1.1738.

On the flip side, a drop below the 50-EMA at 1.1200 will drag the asset toward the psychological support of 1.1000. If cable surrenders the psychological support, it will expose to more downside towards October 12 low at 1.0924.

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1344
Today Daily Change-0.0012
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.1356
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1135
Daily SMA501.15
Daily SMA1001.1835
Daily SMA2001.2467
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.144
Previous Daily Low1.1171
Previous Weekly High1.1381
Previous Weekly Low1.0924
Previous Monthly High1.1738
Previous Monthly Low1.0339
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1337
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1274
Daily Pivot Point S11.1204
Daily Pivot Point S21.1053
Daily Pivot Point S31.0936
Daily Pivot Point R11.1473
Daily Pivot Point R21.1591
Daily Pivot Point R31.1742

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains under presure above 0.7000; focus on data

AUD/USD has met some renewed selling pressure on Thursday, coming down from tops near 0.7040 to revisit the 0.7000 region ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair’s daily decline has come despite a lacklustre performance in the Greenback at the time when investors continued to monitor developments from the Middle East. Looking ahead, the release of flash PMIs will grab the attention in Oz at the end of the week.

USD/JPY declines to a one-week low; eyes trading range support near 157.50 on weaker USD

USD/JPY drops to a one-week low during Thursday’s Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below multi-week range support near mid-157.00s before placing fresh bets amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Despite bets for a December Fed rate hike and Middle East jitters, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps USD depressed near a three-week low. Moreover, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen, further weighing on the currency pair.

Gold remains offered just above $4,000

Gold prices resume their decline on Thursday, easing toward the area of two-month lows around $4,050 per troy ounce. Higher crude oil prices have reignited speculation of further tightening by the Fed, supporting the US Dollar and weighing on the precious metal.

The estimates keep falling: Why Bitcoin's quantum countdown is accelerating
The threat that Artificial Intelligence (AI) and quantum computing pose to Bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrencies in general is no longer a matter of if hardware will catch up; it is a matter of when. Advances in AI-assisted research are adding a new dimension to the quantum computing threat, although neither technology can currently break Bitcoin’s cryptography on its own.
The Bank of England just got its clearest reason to hike. Here's what it's really watching

UK inflation as measured by the CPI accelerated to 3.5% YoY in September, up from 3.1% in August, according to the Office for National Statistics. This is the highest level since October 2025, exceeding economists' expectations of 3.4% and pushing inflation further from the BoE's 2% target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.