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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Licks wounds below 1.3500, 50-DMA support eyed

  • GBP/USD nurses losses amid a four-day downtrend, risk-aversion.
  • 50-DMA support at 1.3421 remains in sight if bears extend their control.
  • Bearish RSI points to additional downside, focus remains on the Fed.

GBP/USD is licking its wounds below 1.3500, as bears take a breather after the recent downward spiral to three-week lows of 1.3440.

Looming UK political concerns combined with intensifying risk-off mood hit the high-beta currency, the GBP, keeping the bearish tone intact around the cable.

NATO readying their forces in Eastern Europe, as the geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine escalate, spooked markets and bolstered the safe-haven demand for the US dollar.

Further, the greenback also benefited from aggressive Fed rate hike expectations, as the world’s most powerful central bank is set to hint at policy normalization on Wednesday when it concludes its two-day meeting.

In the meantime, the broader market sentiment, Russia-Ukraine updates and the UK political developments will continue to influence the major.

Looking at GBP/USD’s daily chart, the pair remains exposed to downside risks, with a sustained break below Monday’s low of 1.3440 to unleash the additional declines towards the horizontal 100-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at 1.3421.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is inching lower below the midline, suggesting that there is more room to fall for the currency pair.          

The next significant support is seen at the round level of 1.3400.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Alternatively, acceptance above mildly bearish 50-DMA at 1.3536 on a daily closing basis is critical to attempting any recovery from multi-week lows.

The 21-DMA at 1.3565 will then challenge the road to recovery, as bulls look to recapture the 1.3600 hurdle.

GBP/USD: Additional technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3473
Today Daily Change-0.0014
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open1.3487
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.357
Daily SMA501.3421
Daily SMA1001.354
Daily SMA2001.373
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3566
Previous Daily Low1.344
Previous Weekly High1.369
Previous Weekly Low1.3546
Previous Monthly High1.355
Previous Monthly Low1.3161
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3488
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3518
Daily Pivot Point S11.343
Daily Pivot Point S21.3372
Daily Pivot Point S31.3304
Daily Pivot Point R11.3555
Daily Pivot Point R21.3623
Daily Pivot Point R31.368

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
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