|

GBP/USD: Likely to range-trade between 1.3470 and 1.3535 – UOB Group

Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to range-trade, most likely between 1.3470 and 1.3535. In the longer run, GBP could rise to 1.3590; the odds of a continued rise above this level are not high.

GBP might rise to 1.3590

24-HOUR VIEW: "GBP dropped to a low of 1.3415 on Monday and then rebounded sharply. Yesterday, when GBP was at 1.3535 in the early Asian session, we highlighted that 'there is a chance for the sharp rise in GBP to test 1.3560 before levelling off'. We also highlighted that 'based on the current momentum, we do not expect 1.3590 to come into view'. GBP then rose to 1.3567 but instead of levelling off, it pulled back to a low of 1.3492. Upward momentum has slowed with the pullback, and today, we expect GBP to range-trade, most likely between 1.3470 and 1.3535."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We revised our GBP view to positive yesterday (06 Jan, spot at 1.3535), indicating that GBP 'could rise to 1.3590'. However, we pointed out that 'the odds of a continued rise above this level are not high'. GBP subsequently rose to 1.3567 before staging a relatively sharp pullback. While upward momentum has slowed somewhat, we will maintain the same view as long as GBP holds above 1.3455 (no change in ‘strong support’ level)."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.



USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold finds relief from Oil’s decline as traders await key US economic data

Gold retains a positive bias during American trading hours on Monday after sliding to a fresh yearly low of $3,870 on Friday and ending October down 6.87%. A pullback in Oil prices amid diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran supports the precious metal. However, the rebound lacks conviction as the fundamental backdrop continues to raise doubts over a sustained recovery.

Dogecoin risks deeper slide as whales diverge

Dogecoin hovers around $0.075 on Monday after falling for the fifth consecutive week since the end of September. Santiment data shows diverging whale activity, as large holders reduce their positions while smaller whale wallets accumulate tokens. Meanwhile, weakening on-chain metrics and a deteriorating technical outlook suggest that DOGE could remain vulnerable to further losses.

Why strong US growth could not stop the bond rally and AI selloff

The US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate, yet Treasury yields fell and the Nasdaq ended October with its worst monthly performance since March 2025. The market is no longer rewarding capital expenditure simply because it supports growth. Investors are testing whether that expenditure can produce cash flow and returns above the cost of capital.



The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.