|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Finds some support near 38.2% Fibo./descending channel confluence region

  • GBP/USD edged lower on Wednesday and retreated further from two-week tops.
  • The technical set-up supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying.

The GBP/USD pair stalled its overnight strong bullish momentum near the 50% Fibonacci level of the 1.2644-1.2076 recent downfall and witnessed a modest pullback on Wednesday. The retracement slide dragged the pair further below the 1.2300 round-figure mark during the early European session, with bears now flirting with 38.2% Fibo. level support.

The mentioned level coincides with the lower end a downward sloping channel on intraday charts. Given the overnight strong upsurge, the channel seemed to constitute towards the formation of a bullish flag chart pattern. The technical set-up supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying, warranting some caution for aggressive bearish traders.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart have been recovering from the bearish territory and have also eased from overbought conditions on the 4-hourly chart. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through selling before confirming that bulls might have already run out of the steam and positioning for any further intraday downfall.

That said, a convincing breakthrough the mentioned confluence support will negate the constructive outlook and prompt some technical selling. The pair might then accelerate the slide back towards 50-day SMA resistance breakpoint, near the 1.2270-65 area. The downward trajectory could further get extended towards 23.6% Fibo. level around the 1.2200 mark.

On the flip side, the 1.2315-20 region now seems to act as immediate resistance and is closely followed by the trend-channel barrier, around the 1.2335 region. A sustained strength beyond the said hurdle will reinforce the bullish set-up and has the potential to lift the pair further towards reclaiming the 1.2400 round-figure mark.

GBP/USD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2297
Today Daily Change-0.0036
Today Daily Change %-0.29
Today daily open1.2333
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2317
Daily SMA501.2278
Daily SMA1001.2606
Daily SMA2001.2667
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2363
Previous Daily Low1.2187
Previous Weekly High1.2296
Previous Weekly Low1.2076
Previous Monthly High1.2648
Previous Monthly Low1.2165
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2296
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2254
Daily Pivot Point S11.2225
Daily Pivot Point S21.2118
Daily Pivot Point S31.2049
Daily Pivot Point R11.2402
Daily Pivot Point R21.2471
Daily Pivot Point R31.2578

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD strengthens above 1.3350 ahead of US CPI data

The GBP/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.3360 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid fears of an escalating US-Iran conflict. The US June Consumer Price Index inflation report will take center stage later on Tuesday. 


EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1350 as traders await US CPI inflation release

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains near 1.1385 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Nonetheless, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid renewed US military strikes against Iran. Traders will take more cues from the US June Consumer Price Index inflation data, which will be released later on Tuesday. 

Gold recovers further beyond $4,000; focus remains on US CPI, Fed's Warsh

Gold builds on its steady intraday recovery from a nearly two-week low, touched during the Asian session, and climbs to the $4,023-$4,024 region in the last hour. The US Dollar pauses following a strong two-day rally as bulls turn cautious ahead of the latest US consumer inflation figures and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's testimony. This is seen as a key factor offering some support to the bullion.

Trump urges Senate to pass CLARITY Act as crypto bill nears crucial vote

US President Donald Trump on Monday urged the US Senate to swiftly pass the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, following the death of Senator Lindsey Graham, who passed away unexpectedly over the weekend at age 71. "In honor of Senator Lindsey Graham, a big supporter, the US Senate should pass the CLARITY Act," Trump wrote in a Truth Social post.

Oil jumps, bonds break and the AI trade starts losing its shine

Wall Street finally ran into the collision course it had spent weeks pretending would never happen. Oil surged, bonds sold off, the dollar caught a bid, and the most crowded corner of the equity market began to buckle under its own weight.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.