|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Finds some support near 38.2% Fibo./descending channel confluence region

  • GBP/USD edged lower on Wednesday and retreated further from two-week tops.
  • The technical set-up supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying.

The GBP/USD pair stalled its overnight strong bullish momentum near the 50% Fibonacci level of the 1.2644-1.2076 recent downfall and witnessed a modest pullback on Wednesday. The retracement slide dragged the pair further below the 1.2300 round-figure mark during the early European session, with bears now flirting with 38.2% Fibo. level support.

The mentioned level coincides with the lower end a downward sloping channel on intraday charts. Given the overnight strong upsurge, the channel seemed to constitute towards the formation of a bullish flag chart pattern. The technical set-up supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying, warranting some caution for aggressive bearish traders.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart have been recovering from the bearish territory and have also eased from overbought conditions on the 4-hourly chart. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through selling before confirming that bulls might have already run out of the steam and positioning for any further intraday downfall.

That said, a convincing breakthrough the mentioned confluence support will negate the constructive outlook and prompt some technical selling. The pair might then accelerate the slide back towards 50-day SMA resistance breakpoint, near the 1.2270-65 area. The downward trajectory could further get extended towards 23.6% Fibo. level around the 1.2200 mark.

On the flip side, the 1.2315-20 region now seems to act as immediate resistance and is closely followed by the trend-channel barrier, around the 1.2335 region. A sustained strength beyond the said hurdle will reinforce the bullish set-up and has the potential to lift the pair further towards reclaiming the 1.2400 round-figure mark.

GBP/USD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2297
Today Daily Change-0.0036
Today Daily Change %-0.29
Today daily open1.2333
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2317
Daily SMA501.2278
Daily SMA1001.2606
Daily SMA2001.2667
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2363
Previous Daily Low1.2187
Previous Weekly High1.2296
Previous Weekly Low1.2076
Previous Monthly High1.2648
Previous Monthly Low1.2165
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2296
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2254
Daily Pivot Point S11.2225
Daily Pivot Point S21.2118
Daily Pivot Point S31.2049
Daily Pivot Point R11.2402
Daily Pivot Point R21.2471
Daily Pivot Point R31.2578

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Week ahead: Fed, BoJ and BoE decide amid inflation dilemma
A crucial central bank week looms for markets as both the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan are under pressure from all sides, with their credibility at stake. The Bank of England looks set to have an easier ride, at least for now, while inflation releases will be watched too as war continues to rage in the Middle East.
CFTC Report: Japanese Yen reversal leads a broader positioning reset
The week in one sentence: Yen positioning swung back into net longs in the week to September 8, leading to a 103.0K-contract improvement. Canadian Dollar shorts also fell sharply, while Oil buying accompanied another price rise. Euro, Sterling and Swiss Franc positioning weakened despite firmer currencies, leaving those moves unconfirmed by speculative flows.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.