|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Falls below 100-day SMA to battle 1.2500

  • GBP/USD prints three-day losing streak while testing 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
  • MACD flirts with the bears, joins downside break of the key SMA to suggest further weakness in prices.
  • An ascending trend line from March 20 becomes important support.

GBP/USD drops to 1.2502 amid the initial trading hours of Monday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Cable pair slips below 100-day SMA. Other than the pair’s downside break of the key SMA, MACD histogram also favors the sellers.

As a result, the quote is likely to revisit an ascending trend line from May 20, at 1.2413 now. However, the pair’s further downside will be decisive.

Should the GBP/USD prices manage to portray a daily closing below 1.2413, May 26 top surrounding 1.2360 could lure the bears. Additionally, the sellers’ dominance past-1.2360 might not refrain from challenging the previous month's bottom surrounding 1.2200.

Meanwhile, the pair’s upside break beyond 100-day SMA level of 1.2530 could aim for April month high near 1.2645 whereas 1.2700 might add filters during the pair’s additional rise.

It should, however, be noted that a daily close beyond the monthly top of 1.2813 will push the pair further towards 1.3000 threshold.

GBP/USD daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2501
Today Daily Change-38 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.30%
Today daily open1.2539
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2438
Daily SMA501.2412
Daily SMA1001.254
Daily SMA2001.2689
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2654
Previous Daily Low1.2474
Previous Weekly High1.2813
Previous Weekly Low1.2474
Previous Monthly High1.2601
Previous Monthly Low1.2076
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2542
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2585
Daily Pivot Point S11.2457
Daily Pivot Point S21.2376
Daily Pivot Point S31.2278
Daily Pivot Point R11.2637
Daily Pivot Point R21.2735
Daily Pivot Point R31.2817

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).