|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bulls coming up for their last breath?

  • GBP/USD is on the verge of another higher high to stretch the pair towards the psychological 1.40 area. 
  • The focus should be on 4-hour resistance structure, and a breach will open prospects of another bullish daily impulse. 

Further to prior analysis of mid-December 2020, GBP Price Analysis: A a break of critical 1.3514 exposes low volume nodes to 1.3820, the upside towards current levels was forecasted on a daily chart as follows:

Current prospects

With the price moving into supply, then there should be a focus on the downside. 

However, given how far the US dollar has rallied against a bearish fundamental backdrop, there could be some more juice left in the market to squeeze on the long side for cable.

This gives rise to the suspicion that the recent correction to daily support in cable is over and that a higher-high, deeper into supply territory is on the cards. 

Daily chart

4-hour chart

From a 4-hour perspective, the bulls will want to see a break of resistance that will be then expected to act as support.

This could be the last breath of air that the bulls can muster before a significant sell-off might ensue when considering five uninterrupted months of higher highs and lows. 

Monthly chart

After such a strong bullish run and meeting what would be expected to be tough resistance, the focus should be on the downside. 

However, GBP has been second-best performing G10 for 2021, having risen 1.7% vs the greenback and 2.3% against the EUR.

In the week ending 9 February, GBP positioning jumped, reaching 11-month highs against the dollar as the vaccine rollout kicks-in and Brexit risk kicks-out. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?
The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is
EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?