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GBP/USD Price Analysis: 100-SMA tests bears below 1.2500

  • GBP/USD remains depressed around two-week low, sidelined of late.
  • Clear downside break of short-term key support, 200-SMA keep sellers hopeful.
  • RSI conditions, 100-SMA restrict immediate downside ahead of the multi-month low marked in May.

GBP/USD licks its wounds around a fortnight low, after dropping the most in two weeks, as the 100-SMA probes the downturn during Thursday’s Asian session. Even so, the cable pair stays pressured around 1.2480-80 levels by the press time.

Although nearly oversold RSI (14) joins the 100-SMA to challenge the pair sellers around 1.2460, bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below 200-SMA keep sellers hopeful.

Also favoring the bears is the pair’s downside break of an ascending support line from May 13, now resistance around 1.2700.

It’s worth noting, however, that multiple supports around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of April-May fall could challenge the GBP/USD bears around 1.2385, even if the quote drops below the 100-SMA level of 1.2460.

Following that, a broad one-month-old horizontal area surrounding 1.2275-55 will be a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers.

On the contrary, recovery moves could initially aim for the 200-SMA and May’s peak, respectively around 1.2550 and 1.2670, before targeting the support-turned-resistance line near 1.2700.

Should the GBP/USD bulls manage to keep reins past 1.2700, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2765 will be in focus.

GBP/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2486
Today Daily Change-0.0118
Today Daily Change %-0.94%
Today daily open1.2604
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2449
Daily SMA501.2752
Daily SMA1001.3089
Daily SMA2001.3322
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2656
Previous Daily Low1.2561
Previous Weekly High1.2667
Previous Weekly Low1.2472
Previous Monthly High1.2667
Previous Monthly Low1.2155
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2597
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.262
Daily Pivot Point S11.2557
Daily Pivot Point S21.2511
Daily Pivot Point S31.2462
Daily Pivot Point R11.2653
Daily Pivot Point R21.2703
Daily Pivot Point R31.2749

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
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