GBP/USD Price Analysis: 100-SMA tests bears below 1.2500

GBP/USD remains depressed around two-week low, sidelined of late.
Clear downside break of short-term key support, 200-SMA keep sellers hopeful.
RSI conditions, 100-SMA restrict immediate downside ahead of the multi-month low marked in May.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

GBP/USD licks its wounds around a fortnight low, after dropping the most in two weeks, as the 100-SMA probes the downturn during Thursday’s Asian session. Even so, the cable pair stays pressured around 1.2480-80 levels by the press time.

Although nearly oversold RSI (14) joins the 100-SMA to challenge the pair sellers around 1.2460, bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below 200-SMA keep sellers hopeful.

Also favoring the bears is the pair’s downside break of an ascending support line from May 13, now resistance around 1.2700.

It’s worth noting, however, that multiple supports around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of April-May fall could challenge the GBP/USD bears around 1.2385, even if the quote drops below the 100-SMA level of 1.2460.

Following that, a broad one-month-old horizontal area surrounding 1.2275-55 will be a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers.

On the contrary, recovery moves could initially aim for the 200-SMA and May’s peak, respectively around 1.2550 and 1.2670, before targeting the support-turned-resistance line near 1.2700.

Should the GBP/USD bulls manage to keep reins past 1.2700, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2765 will be in focus.

GBP/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1.2486
Today Daily Change	-0.0118
Today Daily Change %	-0.94%
Today daily open	1.2604

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2449
Daily SMA50	1.2752
Daily SMA100	1.3089
Daily SMA200	1.3322

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2656
Previous Daily Low	1.2561
Previous Weekly High	1.2667
Previous Weekly Low	1.2472
Previous Monthly High	1.2667
Previous Monthly Low	1.2155
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2597
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.262
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2557
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2511
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2462
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2653
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2703
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2749

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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