GBP/USD on a back foot as traders await fresh clues from Carney's speech

  • The Brexit pessimism weighs on the Cable amid sluggish risk tone.
  • Comments from BOE’s Carney and the US consumer-centric data will be on the spotlight.

With the latest political developments at the UK likely favoring a hard Brexit, investors await fresh clues from the BOE’s Carney for fresh impulse while the GBP/USD pair weakens to 1.2675 ahead of the UK open on Friday.

Boris Johnson leading the race of the UK PM with highest votes during the first round of Tory poll on Thursday and the British Parliament’s rejection to the Labour-led motion to block no-deal Brexit adds further strength to speculations concerning a hard Brexit.

However, some among the defeated runners, like Andrea Leadsom, might support other than Boris to help avoid Brexit risks.

On the other hand, sluggish data from the US and trade tussle with China highlights the risk of the Fed rate cut, which in turn weighs on market sentiment amid chances of a US-Iran war and drags the 10-year US yields further to the south at 2.084 by the press time.

While political plays will be here to direct the market momentum, comments from the Bank of England (BOE) Governor Mark Carney and monthly consumer-centric data from the US will be closely observed for fresh insights.

Given the nearness to the Bank of England (BOE) meeting and latest hawkish comments from some of the central bank’s policymakers, Governor Carney might not risk being dovish. Though, his tendency to repeat Brexit as a challenge to the bank’s future policy moves is less likely to be altered.

On the other hand, US retail sales for May and the Michigan consumer sentiment index for June will also be crucial. The headline retail sales growth could rally to +0.6% from -0.2% on MoM basis whereas retail sales control group might advance +0.4% versus 0.0% earlier. Further, the US consumer sentiment gauge is likely to be a tad lower to 98 from 100.

Technical Analysis

Bullish RSI divergence on the daily chart couldn’t lift the trading sentiment amid lower high formation, which in turn signals the pair’s drop to 1.2580 if 1.2640 fails to tame the bears.

Meanwhile, 1.2710, 1.2760 and 1.2865/75 area comprising April low and 50-day simple moving average (SMA) seem nearby key resistances to watch during the quote’s upside.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: positive mood could prevent the collapse

The shared currency has remained under selling pressure on Friday, amid mounting speculation the ECB will announce a larger-than-anticipated stimulus package next September. EUR/USD capped by a Fibonacci resistance at 1.1110, yearly low at risk.


GBP/USD: economic disruption on a no-deal Brexit to weigh on Sterling

The GBP/USD pair has closed the week with gains, a handful of pips below the 1.2150 level. The Pound advanced for a third consecutive day, helped by some headlines indicating that Jeremy Corbyn, has been in talks with the Scottish National Party.


USD/JPY: short-term advance to be capped by long-term jitters

The USD/JPY has recovered some ground these last few days, to close the week at 106.35. Still, it posted a lower low and a lower high when compared to the previous week, as the Yen benefited from its safe-haven condition on mounting concerns about a US recession. 


Gold gives back territory towards a 23.6% retracement

Gold prices were a touch lower by the end of the week, falling -0.68% having travelled between a high of $1,528.00 to a low of $1,503.87, ending the NY session around $1,513. 

Gold News

Four Signs of A Bear Market

I am a believer that the Universe gives you signs. That may sound a bit crazy, but these three charts are three more signs of a bear market. The top chart is the GLD exchange traded fund.

Read more