UOB Group’s FX Strategists see Cable attempting a move beyond the 1.3400 mark in the short-term horizon.
Key Quotes
24-hour view: “While we expected GBP to strengthen yesterday, we were of the view that ‘1.3360 is likely out of reach’. The subsequent GBP strength exceeded our expectation as it rose to a high of 1.3396. The advance was however short-lived as GBP plunged to an overnight low of 1.3265 before snapping back up. The choppy price actions have resulted in a mixed outlook even though the weakened underlying tone suggests that GBP could edge lower and test the 1.3260 level. The next support at 1.3230 is unlikely to come into the picture. Resistance is at 1.3360 followed by 1.3400.”
Next 1-3 weeks: “We have held a positive view in GBP since last Tuesday (17 Nov, spot at 1.3210). In our latest narrative from yesterday (23 Nov), we indicated that ‘upward momentum has improved and a break of 1.3322 would shift the focus to 1.3360 (followed by 1.3400)’. That said, we did not anticipate the sped-up price actions as GBP blew past 1.3322 and 1.3360 and hit a high of 1.3396. The advance was however short-lived as GBP plummeted from the high (overnight low of 1.3265). Despite the set-back, it is too soon to call for a short-term top. As long as 1.3200 is intact (no change in ‘strong support’ level), there is chance, albeit not a high one, for GBP to push above 1.3400. However, overbought shorter-term conditions could lead to a couple of days of consolidation first. Looking forward, the next resistance level of note above 1.3400 is at the year-to-date high of 1.3481.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.