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GBP/USD licks its wounds at 1.3500 after plummeting 200 pips on dovish BoE

  • GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 after the Bank of England decided to keep rates unchanged.
  • US and UK central banks push back higher rates, thus propelling equity markets to all-time new highs.
  • GBP/USD: As long as it remains below 1.3571, sellers are in control.

The GBP/USD is steady as the Asian Pacific session kicks in, up 0.04%, trading at 1.3503 during the day at the time of writing. The market sentiment is upbeat, as the Federal Reserve said it would begin the bond tapering process, reducing purchases by $15 billion in the middle of November while pushing back higher interest rates. Investors used that as a signal to keep pushing equities at all-time highs, while in the FX market risk-sensitive currencies, dropped against the buck.

Meanwhile, on Thursday, the Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to keep rates at 0.10%, despite that some BoE policymakers, including Governor Andrew Bailey, expressed concerns about high inflation in weeks before the meeting. 

According to the MPC statement, the BoE rationale to maintain rates unchanged is that “It will be necessary to raise bank rate over coming months if data, especially jobs, is in line with the forecast.” Furthermore, they added that the “MPC still sees value in waiting for official labour market data after end of furlough, before deciding on tightening policy.”

Regarding asset purchases, the bank stayed put at 895 billion of Sterling. Concerning high inflation levels, the Boe “forecasts inflation to peak of 4.80% in Q2 2022.” Moreover, the UK’s central bank forecasts show inflation in two years at 2.23%, based on market interest rates.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

In the daily chart, the GBP/USD pair found resistance around 1.3500, but as long as it remains below the July 20 low at 1.3571, it would be vulnerable to British pound sellers. Additionally, the daily moving averages (DMA’s) are well above the spot price, with a bearish slope, so GBP/USD traders would expect some selling pressure mounting on the pair ahead of the US Nonfarm payrolls report.

If GBP/USD bulls reclaim 1.3571, an attack to the 1.3600 figure is on the cards. On the other hand, failure at the abovementioned would expose the 1.3500 psychological level, followed by the 2021 low at 1.3411.

GBP/USD TECHNICAL SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS

Overview
Today last price1.3504
Today Daily Change-0.0182
Today Daily Change %-1.33
Today daily open1.3686
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3705
Daily SMA501.371
Daily SMA1001.3768
Daily SMA2001.3852
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3692
Previous Daily Low1.3608
Previous Weekly High1.3829
Previous Weekly Low1.3668
Previous Monthly High1.3834
Previous Monthly Low1.3434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.366
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.364
Daily Pivot Point S11.3632
Daily Pivot Point S21.3577
Daily Pivot Point S31.3547
Daily Pivot Point R11.3716
Daily Pivot Point R21.3746
Daily Pivot Point R31.3801

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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