|

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.4170 after UK jobless rate unexpectedly drops to 4.8% in March

  • UK claimant count change arrived at -15.1K in April.
  • The unemployment rate in the UK dropped to 4.8% in April.
  • The UK wages excluding bonuses rose by 4.6% YoY vs. 4.6% expected.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Tuesday, the UK’s official jobless rate dropped further to 4.8% in March vs. the previous 4.9% and 4.9% expected while the claimant count change showed a surprise drop last month.

The number of people claiming jobless benefits showed a decrease of 15.1K in April when compared to +25.6K expected and -19.4K seen previously. The claimant count rate came in at 7.2% vs. 7.2% last.

The UK’s average weekly Earnings, excluding bonuses, arrived at +4.6% 3Mo/YoY in March versus +4.4% last and +4.6% expected while the gauge including bonuses came in at +4.0% 3Mo/YoY in March versus +4.5% previous and +4.6% expected.

Key points (via ONS)

Number of payroll employees remains 772,000 below pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic levels.

Since Feb 2020, the largest falls in payrolled employment have been in the hospitality sector, among those aged under 25 years, and those living in London.

In February to April 2021, the number of vacancies reached its highest level since January to march 2020.

GBP/USD reaction

GBP/USD keeps the upbeat momentum intact after the headline UK jobless rate surprised to the upside.

The spot was last seen trading at 1.4171, up 0.27% on the day, thanks to the optimism around the UK reopening and broad US dollar weakness.

About UK jobs

The UK Average Earnings released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) is a key short-term indicator of how levels of pay are changing within the UK economy. Generally speaking, the positive earnings growth anticipates positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.