|

GBP/USD drops to 1.3900 neighbourhood, fresh session lows

  • GBP/USD witnessed some selling on Friday and extended the overnight pullback from weekly tops.
  • A generally softer risk tone provided a modest lift to the safe-haven USD and exerted some pressure.
  • UK political noise, the Scottish elections risk weighed on the GBP and contributed to the selling bias.

The GBP/USD pair refreshed daily lows during the early European session, with bears now awaiting a sustained break below the 1.3900 round-figure mark.

The pair extended the previous day's retracement slide from over one-week tops, around the 1.3975 region and witnessed some selling on the last trading day of the week. This marked the first day of a negative move in the previous six trading sessions and was sponsored by a modest US dollar strength.

As investors looked past the Fed's dovish message, the overnight strong pickup in the US Treasury bond yields assisted the USD to rebound from the lowest level since February 26. Apart from this, a generally softer tone around the equity markets provided an additional lift to the safe-haven USD.

The British pound was further undermined by the risk posed by the Scottish elections next week. Polls are pointing to a supermajority for pro-independence parties in Scotland's parliament, which might intensify pressure for a referendum on independence and act as a headwind for the sterling.

This comes on the back of controversy over funding arrangement for the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson's official apartment. This, in turn, largely offset the optimism over a strong recovery in the UK – bolstered by the easing of COVID-19 restriction and kept the GBP bulls on the defensive.

Meanwhile, the upside for the USD is likely to remain limited amid firming expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates near zero levels for a longer period. This, in turn, makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through selling before positioning for any meaningful downside for the GBP/USD pair.

There isn't any major market-moving economic data due for release from the UK, leaving the GBP/USD pair at the mercy of the USD price dynamics. Later during the early North American session, traders might take cues from the US data – March Personal Income/Spending data, Core PCE Price Index and revised Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for April.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3915
Today Daily Change-0.0026
Today Daily Change %-0.19
Today daily open1.3941
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3844
Daily SMA501.3875
Daily SMA1001.3755
Daily SMA2001.3422
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3976
Previous Daily Low1.3932
Previous Weekly High1.4009
Previous Weekly Low1.381
Previous Monthly High1.4017
Previous Monthly Low1.3671
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.396
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3949
Daily Pivot Point S11.3923
Daily Pivot Point S21.3905
Daily Pivot Point S31.3879
Daily Pivot Point R11.3967
Daily Pivot Point R21.3994
Daily Pivot Point R31.4012

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays in tight channel near 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow band at around 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Friday as investors refrain from taking large positions. February inflation data from Germany and January Producer Price Index figures from the US could drive the pair's action heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD struggles below 1.3500 amid UK political drama, BoE easing bias

GBP/USD struggles to build on the overnight modest bounce from the weekly low and oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3500 on Friday. The Gorton and Denton by-election, held on February 26, has become a focal point of political drama in the UK, along with the BoE easing expectations, acting as a headwind for the GBP.

Gold flat lines below $5,200; traders look to US PPI for fresh impetus

Gold struggles to capitalize on its modest gains registered over the past two days and trades below the $5,200 mark through the first half of the European session on Friday. Geopolitical risks remain in play amid a large US naval and air power buildup in the Middle East.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.