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GBP/USD aims to recapture 1.2300 ahead of UK CPI data

  • GBP/USD is looking to recapture Tuesday’s high around 1.2300 as focus shifts to UK Inflation.
  • Higher Average Earnings due to the shortage of labor have accelerated hawkish Bank of England bets.
  • Strength in the US Treasury yields has supported the USD Index and has triggered a risk-aversion theme.

The GBP/USD pair is marching higher to recapture the critical resistance of 1.2300 in the early Tokyo session. Cable has resumed its upside journey after a corrective move to near 1.2247 and is expected to extend gains despite caution in the risk profile. The Pound Sterling has dodged the risk-aversion theme as the release of the higher wage growth has accelerated hawkish Bank of England (BoE) bets.

Average Earnings in the United Kingdom have climbed to 6.4% vs. the projection of 6.3%, which has triggered chances of continuation of an interest rate hike by the BoE. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey has already warned that rising wages due to labor shortage offset the impact of the decline in energy prices.

S&P500 faced gradual selling pressure from the market participants amid volatility inspired by the stretched weekend. Also, further strengthening of the US Treasury yields weighed on investors’ risk appetite. The alpha generated by 10-year US Treasury yields climbed above 3.54%. This also provided a cushion to the US Dollar Index (DXY) and pushed it back toward the critical resistance of 102.00.

Meanwhile, commentary from Tom Barkin, the President and CEO of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Richmond, favoring the continuation of policy tightening as the inflation rate is well above the median Consumer Price Index (CPI), has also supported the risk-aversion theme.

For further guidance, investors will focus on the release of the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) data, which will release on Wednesday.

On the UK front, December’s inflation report will be keenly watched. Analysts at CitiBank expect headline CPI inflation to moderate further this week to 10.5% on an annual basis. Core CPI may prove somewhat more resilient at 6.2%.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2282
Today Daily Change0.0087
Today Daily Change %0.71
Today daily open1.2195
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.209
Daily SMA501.2051
Daily SMA1001.1693
Daily SMA2001.1993
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2289
Previous Daily Low1.2172
Previous Weekly High1.2249
Previous Weekly Low1.2086
Previous Monthly High1.2447
Previous Monthly Low1.1992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2216
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2244
Daily Pivot Point S11.2148
Daily Pivot Point S21.2101
Daily Pivot Point S31.203
Daily Pivot Point R11.2266
Daily Pivot Point R21.2337
Daily Pivot Point R31.2384

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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