|

GBP/JPY sits near weekly tops, bulls await a sustained move beyond 139.00 mark

  • GBP/JPY gains traction for the second consecutive session on Thursday.
  • Not so dovish BoE statement provided a modest lift to the British pound.
  • The risk-on mood undermined the safe-haven JPY and remained supportive.

The GBP/JPY cross refreshed daily tops post-BoE announcement, with bulls now looking to build on the momentum further beyond the 139.00 round-figure mark.

Following the previous day's intraday pullback of around 50 pips, the cross managed to regain some positive traction on Thursday and spiked to the top end of its weekly trading range. The uptick was supported by a modest pickup the British pound after the Bank of England (BoE) offered a glimpse of optimism at the end of the latest monetary policy meeting.

As was widely expected, the UK central bank held interest rates steady at 0.1% and maintained its existing level of Asset Purchase Facility at £745 billion. In the accompanying policy statement, the BoE said the recession will be less severe than feared and predicted that the economic output will shrink by 9.5% this year as against the 14.5% estimated previously.

The BoE, however, warned that unemployment could almost double to 7.5% by the end of 2020 and the risks to the outlook remain skewed to the downside. It reiterated that it will continue to monitor the situation and stands ready to adjust monetary policy accordingly. Meanwhile, there was no specific mention of pursuing negative interest rates moving forward.

Apart from this, the upbeat market mood – as depicted by the bullish trading sentiment surrounding the global equity markets – undermined the Japanese yen's relative safe-haven demand against its British counterpart. This, in turn, remained supportive of the GBP/JPY pair's bid tone through the first half of the trading action on Thursday.

It will now be interesting to see if the cross is able to capitalize on the momentum or continues with its struggle to decisively break through the 139.00 mark. The focus now shifts to the post-meeting press conference, where comments by the BoE Governor Andrew Bailey might infuse some volatility around the GBP crosses and produce some meaningful trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price138.9
Today Daily Change0.41
Today Daily Change %0.30
Today daily open138.49
 
Trends
Daily SMA20136.12
Daily SMA50135.2
Daily SMA100133.91
Daily SMA200137.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High139.01
Previous Daily Low138.04
Previous Weekly High139.21
Previous Weekly Low135.15
Previous Monthly High139.21
Previous Monthly Low132.95
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%138.64
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%138.41
Daily Pivot Point S1138.02
Daily Pivot Point S2137.55
Daily Pivot Point S3137.06
Daily Pivot Point R1138.99
Daily Pivot Point R2139.48
Daily Pivot Point R3139.95

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.