|

GBP/JPY declines towards 162.00 despite odds of widening BOE-BOJ policy divergence

  • GBP/JPY is expected to drop to near 162.00 amid BOJ planning on intervention in the currency market.
  • UK PM Liz Truss has announced a reduction in tax slabs and a cap on energy and electricity prices.
  • A rate hike announcement by the BOE will widen the BOE-BOJ policy divergence further.

The GBP/JPY pair has surrendered the critical support of 162.20 in the Asian session and is declining towards 162.00 modestly. The asset has turned bearish after a downside break of the consolidation formed in a 162.80-164.47 range. The cross has shifted into the negative trajectory despite accelerating odds of further expansion in Bank of England (BOE)-Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy divergence.

Price pressures in the UK economy are acting as headwinds for UK households. The latter is forced to make inflation-adjusted payouts with penny-worth increments in earnings. No doubt, the labor market conditions, growth prospects, and energy prices are not supporting a rate hike by the BOE. However, BOE Governor has to swallow the bitter gulp and announce a rate hike by 50 basis points (bps).

Meanwhile, operations from new UK Prime Minister Liz Truss seem favorable for the economy led by the announcement of a reduction in tax slabs, a cap on energy and electricity prices, and a trade deal with the US. In spite of this fact, the pound bulls are not getting stronger.

On the Tokyo front, BOJ's warning o intervention in the currency market is supporting the Japanese yen. Japan’s former Vice FM Tatsuo Yamasaki cited that the Japanese administration is ready to intervene in currency markets at any moment if needed, news wires from Bloomberg. He further added that the government doesn’t need to wait for a green light from the US to support the yen.

The approach to monetary policy by the BOJ is expected to remain ‘neutral’ as growth prospects and inflation catalysts still need care from the economy. This will widen the BOE-BOJ policy divergence further.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price162.15
Today Daily Change-0.19
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open162.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA20163.54
Daily SMA50163.27
Daily SMA100163.07
Daily SMA200160.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High163.95
Previous Daily Low162.24
Previous Weekly High167.22
Previous Weekly Low162.75
Previous Monthly High163.99
Previous Monthly Low159.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%162.89
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%163.3
Daily Pivot Point S1161.73
Daily Pivot Point S2161.13
Daily Pivot Point S3160.02
Daily Pivot Point R1163.44
Daily Pivot Point R2164.55
Daily Pivot Point R3165.16

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).