|

Forex Today: USD on the defensive ahead of Powell’s testimony, a busy session ahead

A quiet Asian affair across the fx space this Tuesday, as a sense of calm prevailed in anticipation of the new Fed Chair Powell’s testimony, despite the risk-on rally in the Asian equities. As a result, most majors remained confined with tight trading ranges, except for the Kiwi. The NZD/USD pair slumped -0.30% to trade near 0.7280 levels, as markets continued to weigh in disappointing NZ trade figures.

Among the commodities, gold traded firmer just shy of the $ 1340 mark while both crude benchmarks traded on the back foot ahead of the API weekly crude stockpiles report.

Main topics in Asia

PBoC might track Fed with rate hike if Fed hike in March

China Securities Journal/FXL reporting that the PBoC will likely raise interest rates in open-market operations in March should the Fed hike interest rates.

Japan's Motegi sees CPI rising

Comments from Japanese Economy Minister Motegi are crossing the wires via Livesquawk.

Trump wants to revive steel industry jobs even if takes tariffs

US President Donald Trump wants to revive the US steel industry and create more jobs even if it means applying tariffs on imports from other countries, however, so far the White House has not made a final decision on the issue, according to Reuters report. 

New Zealand's Robertson says strong NZD reflects strong economy

A strong New Zealand dollar (NZD) exchange rate reflects a strong economy, New Zealand Finance Minister Robertson said. 

People aren't worried about inflation - US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin

The US's Secretary of the Treasury Steven Mnuchin is hitting the wires with his take on current inflation conditions.

IMF maintains January forecast of 3.9 pct global growth for 2018 and 2019

IMF’s Lagarde: Effects of MonPol normalization are uncertain

Key Focus ahead

Today’s macro calendar remains a busy one, with a raft of consumer confidence and sentiment data due to be reported from the Euroland ahead of the German preliminary CPI release while the UK docket offers nothing of relevance. Meanwhile, the speeches by the ECB Governing Council members Mersch and Weidmann will be closely eyed for fresh insights on the bank’s monetary policy outlook, especially after the ECB President Draghi’s testimony held yesterday.

In the NA session, a batch of economic releases is due on the cards from the US, including the key durable goods, advance trade balance, and CB consumer confidence numbers. However, the main risk event for the Dollar trade today remains the new Fed Chairman Powell’s testimony on the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report before the House Financial Services Committee, in Washington DC at 1500 GMT.

EUR/USD in consolidation mode, eyes German CPI & Powell testimony

The EUR/USD pair has been restricted to a narrow range of 1.2360-1.2260 since last Wednesday, but a breakout could happen later today post the German preliminary CPI release and Fed's Powell's testimony.

GBP/USD: 1.40 in reach as Powell testimony looms

Sterling can expect some volatility as markets shift under the weight of Fed chairman Jerome Powell's congressional testimony today before the House Finance Committee. 

Spotlight on Powell

Outside of equity markets where the US stock indexes clocked in gains of 1 %, most asset classes remain parked in neutral as all eyes are on Jay Powell.

Key US data preview: US durable goods - Nomura

"Durable goods orders: Excluding volatile transportation orders, we expect a flat reading for January core durable goods orders (Consensus: +0.4% m-o-m).”

Will the Upcoming Election in Italy Pose a Threat to the Euro?

Italy’s upcoming general election, slated to be held next weekend on March 4th, has garnered far less market attention than its French or German counterparts had last year, and perhaps for good reason.

GMT
Event
Vol.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
Friday, Feb 23
24h
 
 
Tuesday, Feb 27
08:40
 
 
09:00
 
4.6%
4.6%
09:00
 
 
4.8%
09:00
 
2.9%
2.8%
10:00
 
 
10:00
 
8.0
8.8
10:00
 
114.0
114.7
10:00
 
1.48
1.54
10:00
 
0.1
0.1
10:00
 
16.3
16.7
13:00
 
1.5%
1.6%
13:00
 
1.3%
1.4%
13:00
 
0.5%
-0.7%
13:00
 
0.6%
-1.0%
13:30
 
0.3%
0.4%
13:30
 
$-72.30B
$-72.26B Revised from $-71.58B
13:30
 
 
13:30
 
-2.2%
2.8% Revised from 2.9%
13:30
 
0.4%
0.7% Revised from 0.6%
13:55
 
 
-0.7%
13:55
 
 
3.7%
14:00
 
6.3%
6.4%
14:00
 
0.4%
0.4%
15:00
 
15
14
n/a
 
 
1.83%

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD consolidates gains, holds above 1.3600

GBP/USD stays in a consolidation phase above 1.3600 on Monday following the previous week's impressive rally. The US Dollar recovers ground due to uncertainty over the potential impact of US economic sanctions' against Iran on energy prices, leaving the risk-sensitive pair on the backfoot.

EUR/USD stays below 1.1700 as markets turn cautious

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades below 1.1700 after posting strong gains in the previous week. The pair struggles as the US Dollar attempts a tepid recovery following last week's sell-off that was triggered by the US Treasury's change to bond buyback plan. Meanwhile, investors cling to a cautious stance, awaiting this week's key events and details surrounding the US' economic sanctions package against Iran.

Gold extends rally to fresh three-month high above $4,650

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its advance on Monday, building on the strong rally seen last week following the US Treasury’s buyback announcement and trading at its highest level since May near $4,650.

Here's what I learned trading meme coins
I’ve been trading cryptocurrencies for the past seven years, with meme coins becoming one of the most exciting and implacable parts of my experience. I love them because they represent internet culture and community sentiment, and, let’s be honest, extreme speculation. Newly launched meme coins were especially tempting: get in early enough, I thought, and a small bet could turn into a huge return.
Bessent’s presser in focus
Preview: Busy week ahead, with Bessent kicking this off today, with things wrapping up with Warsh at Jackson Hole. For a month that should have been a temporary period of ‘quiet’, we had anything but last week, with the bond market and tariffs front and centre.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.