|

Forex Today: US Dollar holds firm as focus shifts to ADP employment data

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, August 2:

The US Dollar preserves its strength mid-week as market mood remains cautious. US stock index futures are down between 0.35% and 0.75% in the early European morning, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) clings to modest daily gains above 102.00. ADP will release private sector employment data for July to kickstart the American session.

ADP Jobs Preview: Will a softer report slow down the US Dollar?

The data from the US showed on Tuesday that the business activity in the manufacturing sector continued to contract in July and the number of job openings on the last business day of June declined to 9.58 million. Although DXY retreated from the multi-week high it touched above 102.40 after these data, it closed the day in positive territory. In the late American session, Global rating agency Fitch announced that it downgraded the US government's credit rating to AA+ from AAA, citing anticipated fiscal deterioration over the next three years and a high and growing general government debt burden. 

During the Asian trading hours, the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) Minutes of the June monetary policy meeting showed that policymakers shared the view that there was no need to make operational tweaks to Yield Curve Control (YCC) at this point. Meanwhile, BoJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida reiterated that it was important for the BoJ to patiently maintain easy policy. Following a three-day rally that saw the pair gain nearly 3%, USD/JPY came under renewed bearish pressure and was last seen losing 0.5% on the day at around 142.60. Despite the dovish BoJ tone, the Japanese Yen seems to be benefitting from risk aversion.

The data from New Zealand showed on Wednesday that the Unemployment Rate rose to 3.6% in the second quarter from 3.4% in the first quarter. In the same period, the Participation Rate increased to 72.4% from 72% and the Labor Cost Index rose 1.1% on a quarterly basis. NZD/USD extended its slide in the Asian session and was last seen trading at its lowest level in a month near 0.6100.

EUR/USD recovered above 1.1000 in the Asian session but retreated below that level at the beginning of the European session on Wednesday.

GBP/USD closed below 1.2800 for the first time in three weeks on Tuesday. The pair stays relatively quiet early Wednesday.

Pressured by rising US Treasury bond yields, Gold price turned south and dropped toward $1,940. As the 10-year US yield holds steady at around $1,940, XAU/USD consolidates its losses near $1,950.

Bitcoin staged a rebound following a drop below $28,500 but lost its bullish momentum after testing $30,000. Ethereum came within a touching distance of $1,800 on Tuesday but turned north in the second half of the day. ETH/USD, however, struggled to build on recovery gains early Wednesday and trades in negative territory near $1,850.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.3200 ahead of US PCE

GBP/USD clings to minor recovery gains, but remains below 1.3200 in the European session on Thursday. However, the potential upside for the pair appear limited amid UK political instability and rising expectations of US interest rate hikes this year. Traders await the US May PCE inflation data on Thursday for a clear direction.

EUR/USD defends 1.1350 as eyes turn to US PCE inflation

EUR/USD trades better bid above 1.1350 in European trading on Thursday. A pause in the US Dollar rally is helping the pair stay afloat. Markets look to the key US Personal Consumption Expenditures report for fresh trading impetus.

Gold bounces off November 2025 lows as USD rally pauses ahead of US PCE

Gold rebounds from the vicinity of the lowest level since November 2025, set the previous day, and trades near the $4,000 psychological mark. A modest US Dollar downtick offers some support to the commodity amid some repositioning trade ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index.

Bitcoin tests $60,000 as whales sell off – Aave and Jupiter show resilience

The broader cryptocurrency market remains under intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin back at $60,000 for the third time this year. On-chain data shows selling pressure from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, while total liquidations hit nearly $1 billion in 24 hours.

Ripple and SBI Group partner to launch RLUSD in Japan

Ripple (XRP) remains under pressure, trading at $1.06 on Thursday after losing nearly 5% so far this week. Ripple and SBI Group partnered to launch RLUSD stablecoin in Japan following approval from the Japan Financial Services Agency on Thursday, but the move failed to lift sentiment.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.