|

Forex Today: Markets remain cautious despite easing of Covid curbs in China, eyes on BOC

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, December 7:

Choppy market action continues mid-week as investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of next week's highly-anticipated central bank meetings. Investors remain cautious despite China's decision to move away from the zero-Covid policy and the US Dollar preserves its strength against its risk-sensitive rivals. The European economic docket will feature the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product. Later in the day, third-quarter Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs data from the US will be looked upon for fresh impetus. Finally, the Bank of Canada (BOC) will announce its interest rate decision and release the monetary policy statement.

China announced earlier in the day that positive cases with mild symptoms or who are asymptomatic will be allowed to quarantine at home for seven days rather. "Any form of mobility-control should not be implemented," the Chinese government noted in a statement and explained that mass PCR testing will be largely abandoned and be restricted to hospitals, nursing homes and schools. Despite this development, the Shanghai Composite Index is down 0.4% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index is losing nearly 2%. Meanwhile, US stock index futures trade flat on the day following the two-day slide witnessed in Wall Street's main indexes.

USD/CAD climbed to a monthly high of 1.3677 on Tuesday and closed in positive territory for the fourth straight trading day. In addition to broad-based US Dollar strength, falling crude oil prices provided a boost to the pair by weighing on the commodity-sensitive Canadian Dollar. The BOC is expected to raise its policy rate by 50 basis points to 4.25%. Some experts see the BOC opting for a smaller 25 bps hike. In its previous policy statement, the BOC set its terminal rate at 4.25% and a 50 bps hike would bring the bank's tightening cycle to an end.

EUR/USD continued to edge lower on closed in negative territory on Tuesday before going into a consolidation phase at around 1.0450 early Wednesday. The data from Germany revealed that Industrial Production contracted by 0.1% on a monthly basis in October, beating the market expectation for a decrease of 0.5%.

GBP/USD stays on the back foot and continues to stretch lower toward 1.2100 in the European morning. The Halifax House Prices fell 2.3% on a monthly basis in November but this data had little to no impact on Pound Sterling's performance against its rivals. 

USD/JPY preserved its bullish momentum early Wednesday and climbed above 137.00. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Board Member Toyoaki  Nakamura said earlier in the day that it would be premature to tweak the monetary policy now with service prices remaining low.

Australian Bureau of Statistics reported during the Asian trading hours that the Australian GDP grew at an annual rate of 5.9% in the third quarter, falling short of the market expectation of 6.3%. AUD/USD edged lower after the data and was last seen trading slightly below 0.6700.

Gold price closed virtually unchanged at around $1,770 on Tuesday as the retreating US Treasury bond yields helped XAU/USD hold its ground despite the US Dollar strength. The pair continues to fluctuate in a narrow range near $1,770 early Wednesday.

Bitcoin extends its sideways grind near $17,000 into a seventh straight day on Wednesday. Ethereum struggles to find demand and loses over 3%, closing in on $1,200.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher above 0.7050 as hot CPI lifts RBA rate hike odds

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7055 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter inflation data bolsters expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes. The US September Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report will be in the spotlight later on Thursday.



USD/JPY retakes 158.00 as USD stalls the post-FOMC corrective slide

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Thursday, climbing back above 158.00 as the US Dollar reverses part of the post-FOMC pullback from a two-week high. Bulls, however, await key US macro data – the Advance Q3 GDP and the PCE Price Index – before positioning for further gains. Focus will then shift to the crucial BoJ policy update on Friday amid firming expectations for a December rate hike.

Gold weakens further below $4,050 amid Fed rate hike bets and Iran risks

Gold sticks to intraday losses below the $4,050 level heading into the European session ,and for now seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak to the weekly top set the previous day. The US Dollar attracts fresh buyers after Wednesday's post-FOMC corrective slide from a two-week high and is seen as a key factor weighing on the precious metal.

US GDP expected to grow at 3.2% in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis is set to publish its preliminary estimate of the Gross Domestic Product for the July-September period on Thursday, with analysts expecting the data to show annualised growth at a solid 3.2%, a decent improvement from the 2.2% expansion recorded in the previous quarter. Markets brace for US growth and PCE data amid geopolitical jitters

European Central Bank is expected to hold interest rates despite high inflation pressures

The European Central Bank concludes its two-day monetary policy meeting on Thursday and will announce its decision at 13:15 GMT. The bank is widely expected to leave the interest rate on the Main Refinancing Operations and the Deposit Facility unchanged at 2.65% and 2.50%, respectively, after having raised both of them by 25 basis points in September.

Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.