|

Forex Today: Market mood remains upbeat ahead of all-important Fed rate decision

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, March 16:

Risk flows dominate the financial markets early Wednesday as investors remain hopeful for a diplomatic solution to the Russia-Ukraine crisis and the greenback stays on the back foot. February Retail Sales and Import Price Index data will be featured in the US economic docket ahead of the Federal Reserve's all-important interest rate decision. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from Canada will be looked upon for fresh impetus as well. Additionally, negotiations between Russian and Ukrainian representatives are set to continue on Wednesday.

US Retail Sales Preview: Relentless shopper may provide dollar-selling opportunity ahead of the Fed.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday that Kyiv was not serious about finding a mutually acceptable solution to the conflict. Although this headline caused investors to turn cautious during the American trading hours, Wall Street's main indexes managed to post decisive daily gains. Mykhailo Podoliyak, one of the Ukrainian representatives, said that there certainly was room for a compromise. Moreover, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy noted in a video statement that negotiations were already sounding more realistic.

Reflecting the risk-positive market atmosphere, China's Shanghai Composite Index gained more than 3% and Japan's Nikkei 225 Index rose 1.6%. In the early European session, US stock index futures are up between 0.3% and 0.8%.

Later in the day, the Fed is widely expected to hike its policy rate by 25 basis points. Investors will pay close attention to the updated Summary of Economic Projections and FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell's comments on the policy outlook.

Fed Interest Rate Decision Preview: Is history a guide?

EUR/USD failed to hold above 1.1000 on Tuesday and ended up closing the day virtually unchanged at 1.0950. The pair stays relatively quiet below 1.1000 early Wednesday.

GBP/USD closed the second straight day in positive territory on Tuesday despite losing its bullish momentum near 1.3100. The pair is moving sideways near the mid-1.3000s in the early European morning.

After losing nearly 2% on Monday, gold fell 1.5% on Tuesday and touched its lowest level in two weeks below $1,910. XAU/USD is consolidating its losses above $1,910 as US Treasury bond yields move sideways.

USD/JPY clings to weekly gains above 118.00 as the JPY struggles to find demand as a safe haven. Kyodo news agency reported earlier in the day that the Japanese government was considering compiling a fresh economic package amid the Russia-Ukraine crisis.

Bitcoin spiked to a six-day high above $41,700 earlier in the day but returned below $40,000. Ethereum is edging higher after posting gains in the previous two days and was last seen rising 1% on the day above $2,600.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.