|

Forex Today: Investors eye central bank speak in search of fresh catalyst

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, April 20:

Choppy market action continues this week as participants look for the next fundamental driver. The US Dollar Index extends its sideways grind following Wednesday's uninspiring rebound and the risk mood stays neutral on Thursday. The European Central Bank (ECB) will release the minutes of its last policy meeting and President Christine Lagarde will be delivering a speech. The US economic docket will feature Existing Home Sales, weekly Jobless Claims and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey. Fed Governor Waller and policymakers Waller, Mester, Bowman and Logan are scheduled to speak later in the day as well.

The cautious market stance and rising US Treasury bond yields helped the US Dollar (USD) stay resilient against its rivals on Wednesday. Early Thursday, the 10-year US T-bond yield slipped back below 3.6%. The Fed's Beige Book revealed late Wednesday that overall price levels rose moderately and the rate of price increases appeared to be slowing in the survey period ending April 10.

During the Asian trading hours, the data from New Zealand showed that the annualized Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the first quarter dropped to 6.7% from 7.2%. This reading came in below the market expectation of 7.1% and weighed on NZD/USD. The pair was last seen losing 0.4% on the day at 0.6170.

EUR/USD erased a portion of its daily gains in the American session and registered small daily losses on Wednesday. The pair stays quiet and fluctuates above 1.0950 in the European morning on Thursday.

Pound Sterling held strong against the USD on Wednesday on the back of hot inflation data from the UK. After having closed modestly higher, GBP/USD seems to have gone into a consolidation phase at around 1.2450 on Thursday.

USD/CAD rose sharply on Wednesday and gained nearly 100 pips on its way to a fresh weekly high above 1.3470. The commodity-sensitive loonie struggled to find demand as crude oil prices fell more than 2% on a daily basis. The pair seems to have stabilized near 1.3450 early Thursday.

USD/JPY benefited from rising US T-bond yields but lost its traction after facing stiff resistance near 135.00. The pair consolidates its gains at around 134.50 in the European morning.

Gold price fell to its weakest level in two weeks below $1,970 on Wednesday before retracing the majority of its daily drop in the second half of the day. Early Thursday, XAU/USD moves up and down in a narrow channel slightly below $2,000.

Bitcoin broke below $30,000 and ended up losing more than 5% on Wednesday. BTC/USD seems to have settled at around $29,000 on Thursday. Ethereum recorded its biggest one-day decline since November as it lost more than 8% on Wednesday. ETH/USD trades below key $2,000 following the latest selloff.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).